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Warm/Dry Weather Tomorrow

| 3:32 pm April 28, 2016

RADAR CHECK: We are seeing only a few isolated showers across South-Central Alabama on radar this afternoon; the northern counties are warm and dry with temperatures in the low 80s in most spots. Additional showers and storms could form over the southern half of the state this evening, mostly south of U.S. 80. North Alabama stays dry.

TOMORROW: It looks like a dry day for most of the state; with a good supply of sunshine temperatures rise into the mid to upper 80s, making it one of the warmest days so far this year.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Models are trending drier. We will still need to mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers and storms Saturday, but most of the day should be dry, and temperatures rise into the low to mid 80s.

A weather system will get closer Sunday, and while a few showers and storms are certainly possible, it looks more and more like the rain won’t be too organized or heavy, and the sun should be out at times. Sunday’s high will be right around 80 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: The general pattern suggests dry and cooler weather for the state; highs most days will be in the 70s, and we could see lows in the 40s by the end of the week. A disturbance could bring a few light showers or sprinkles Tuesday night, but for now the chance of significant rain looks very low. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Tomorrow will be mostly sunny and warm with a high in the mid to upper 80s. Saturday, partly sunny with only a few widely scattered showers; most of the day will be dry. And, the weather stays warm with afternoon temperatures reaching the low to mid 80s. I don’t think there will be many problems running the Sparks Energy 300.

The good news is that it looks like showers and storms Sunday will be pretty scattered in nature. A very good chance they get in the GEICO 500, but a rain delay is still not out of the question. The high Sunday at the Superspeedway will be around 80 degrees.

AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine tomorrow and Saturday from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach; a few scattered storms are possible Sunday, but some sun is still likely at times. Highs in the 70s along the immediate coast, with 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Sycamore Elementary… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Thursday Midday Nowcast For North/Central Alabama

| 12:07 pm April 28, 2016

simuawips

A mix of clouds and sun are gracing the skies across North/Central Alabama at this time, but showers and thunderstorms are affecting the southeastern and southwestern corners of the state.

A thunderstorm is currently producing heavy rainfall across Henry county, especially for the communities of Lawrenceville, Creamer, Capps, and especially around the Abbeville Municipal Airport. Light to moderate rain is currently falling over the Gulf Coast of Alabama, and well up in central Mobile and Baldwin counties. Another small but heavy shower is moving into Choctaw County. Communities of Paragon, Hodgewood, and Riderwood are about to receive a decent shower.

TEMPERATURES AT 12PM: Temperatures are well up into the 70s for most communities across the area. Here is a list of temperature readings from across the state at this time:

Birmingham 77
Tuscaloosa 72
Muscle Shoals 78
Huntsville 79
Anniston 76
Alexander City 73
Montgomery 78
Dothan 76
Mobile 72

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TODAY & TONIGHT: A mix of sun and clouds for the rest of today, with shower and thunderstorm activity staying well to the south today. SPC has areas south of the I-20 and I-59 corridors under a “Marginal Risk” for severe storms today, except for areas along and a little west of the I-65 corridor. Afternoon highs will reach the low to mid 80s across North/Central Alabama, with clearing skies tonight and overnight lows at or near 60.

TOMORROW: Dry and very warm weather is the story for North/Central Alabama, we reach the mid to upper 80s with a partly to mostly sunny sky. Any showers will be confined to the far southwest counties of the state.

TALADEGA SUPERSPEEDWAY: Tomorrow will be mostly sunny and warm at the Superspeedway with a high between 85 and 88 degrees. On Saturday, a decent part of the day will be dry, but we can’t rule out a passing shower or two. The weather stays warm with a high in the low to mid 80s. I don’t think there will be many problems running the Sparks Energy 300. On Sunday there should be an increase in the number of showers and storms across the state, but this won’t be a wash-out, and again I think there is a good chance the GEICO 500 will run, although a delay is certainly possible. Sunday’s high will be close to 80 degrees.

APRIL 27 2011 SPECIAL: You can watch our one hour special here. It was on this date five years ago that 62 tornadoes killed 252 people in our state during a generational tornado outbreak.

WEATHERBRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can find it here.

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Storms Stay To The South Today

| 6:31 am April 28, 2016

RADAR CHECK: Showers and storms are increasing over Southwest Alabama early this morning; a few severe thunderstorm warnings have been required…

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It sure looks like most of the showers and storms will stay over the southern half of Alabama today, where SPC maintains a “marginal risk” of severe storms. An isolated shower could pop up over the northern counties this morning, but that seems rather unlikely. We rise into the low to mid 80s this afternoon.

TOMORROW: Dry and very warm weather is the story for North/Central Alabama, we reach the mid to upper 80s with a partly to mostly sunny sky. Any showers will be confined to the far southwest counties of the state.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Moisture begins to return, and we will mention the risk of scattered showers, and possibly a thunderstorm Saturday, but a decent part of the day will be dry. With a mix of sun and clouds, the high Saturday will be in the mid 80s for most places.

Showers and storms should be a little more numerous Sunday, but again we will have some very nice breaks in the rain during the day, with potential for some sun at times. No severe weather is expected, and the high Sunday will be close to 80 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: It sure looks like a good part of the week will be dry, and cooler as an upper trough begins to form over the eastern U.S. Highs drop into the 70s, and we could see lows down in the 40s by mid to late week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Tomorrow will be mostly sunny and warm at the Superspeedway with a high between 85 and 88 degrees. On Saturday, a decent part of the day will be dry, but we can’t rule out a passing shower or two. The weather stays warm with a high in the low to mid 80s. I don’t think there will be many problems running the Sparks Energy 300.

On Sunday there should be an increase in the number of showers and storms across the state, but this won’t be a wash-out, and again I think there is a good chance the GEICO 500 will run, although a delay is certainly possible. Sunday’s high will be close to 80 degrees.

AT THE BEACH: A passing shower or storm is a decent possibility today, but the sun will be out at times. Mostly dry tomorrow and Saturday, then a risk of scattered storms Sunday from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach. Highs will be in the 70s along the immediate coast, with 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

ON THIS DATE TWO YEARS AGO: A total of 18 tornadoes touched down across North/Central Alabama, one person, 21-year-old University of Alabama swimmer John Servati, was killed in Tuscaloosa; there were about two dozen injuries elsewhere.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program today at Sycamore Elementary in Talladega County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Radar Check For North/Central Alabama at 9:00 PM CDT

| 9:13 pm April 27, 2016

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At 9:00 PM, nearly all of the rain from the line of storms have now pushed into western Georgia. It is still raining in parts of Russell and Barbour counties, but they will be completely out of the state by 9:30 PM.

Fortunately, there were very few reports of damage across the state. The only reports came from Butler County, where severe thunderstorm winds blew trees down on Cahaba Road and at Wildforks Road. Only one other report of a tree and some power lines down in Crenshaw County.

SPC has dropped the severe risks for the whole state, as helicity and instability values continue to drop, and will do so throughout the overnight hours.

The rest of tonight and into tomorrow will mainly be dry. There is a risk for isolated showers or thunderstorms to develop across the area throughout the overnight hours. Even though some of these could be strong, the overall severe threat is minimal. Otherwise, skies will be partly to mostly cloudy across the area. Overnight temperatures will only fall to the upper 60s to near 70.

Rain totals for this system tonight have ranged from no measurable rainfall at the Birmingham Airport, to 0.68 inches at Montgomery, to 0.26 inches at Mobile, and to 0.05 at Alexander City.

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SPC Updated Day 1 Outlook for North/Central Alabama

| 8:05 pm April 27, 2016

AL_swody1-2

The Storm Prediction Center has just released an update for the severe weather outlook for the remainder of tonight until 7 AM tomorrow morning. All of the state has been cleared from any severe risk. There is a risk for an isolated shower or thunderstorm to develop during the evening and overnight hours. With the instability and helicity values dropping, severe weather threat is minimal.

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Radar Check for North/Central Alabama at 7:40 PM CDT

| 7:38 pm April 27, 2016

wsv radar

A line of showers and thunderstorms currently stretch from Anniston, to Eufala, back to the southwest to Andalusia, and into the panhandle or Florida through Covington County. Line has weekend as it has pushed to the east-northeast through southern Alabama. There is still plenty of lightning involved, so stay inside until the line has passed. The line of storms should be exiting the state during the 8-9 PM timeframe tonight.

Instability levels have dropped considerably, with CAPE values mostly at 300-1,000 J/kg for much of the state, except for a few places in south Alabama where values are at 2,000 J/kg.

Latest runs of both the high-resolution NAM and the HRRR models have some redevelopment over the area during the late night and overnight hours. The NAM is a little more aggressive with the redevelopment. The HRRR is trending with a more drier solution. Therefore, I’ll say a few isolated showers and thunderstorms could develop over the area during tonight through the pre-dawn hours.

Most of the state remains under a “Marginal Risk” for severe storms through 7 AM Thursday morning. So, small hail and gusty winds could be possible. As instability and helicity values continue to drop tonight, the likelihood of severe weather happening is minimal.

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Radar Check at 6:00 PM for North/Central Alabama

| 5:58 pm April 27, 2016

wsv radar

Currently a line of storms are currently located along the I-65 corridor from southern Shelby county down through Baldwin County and out into the gulf, with an arm stretching to the east along the I-85 corridor from Montgomery county all the way into western Georgia. The line is moving to the northeast. Plenty of lightning with these storms, so if you’re in the path it would be advisable that you stay inside until these storms pass.

There is a strong thunderstorm up in Limestone county in northern Alabama. There is plenty of lightning associated with this cell as well. It is moving to the northeast and will move into Tennessee within an hour.

No watches or warnings are currently in effect in Alabama at the moment.

As of now, Instability numbers are still higher in the southern part of the state, with CAPE values in the 2,000-3,500 J/kg range. Shear numbers are starting to rise, especially over southwestern Alabama, but these are increasing well behind the storms.

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The latest run of the HRRR model shows some storms redeveloping over the northwestern parts of the state around the 7:00 PM time frame, and moving northeast through the counties along and north of the I-20 and I-59 corridors. With that said, we’ll keep a risk for showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for the rest of tonight and into early tomorrow morning. Some storms could be strong, but severe weather risk is minimal.

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Significant Weather Advisory – Northeastern Russell County until 5:30 PM CDT.

| 5:06 pm April 27, 2016

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A Significant Weather Advisory has been issued for Northeastern Russell County until 5:30 PM CDT. A strong thunderstorm was located near Fort Benning/Lawson Air Field and Phenix City, moving to the northeast at 20 MPH. Dime size hail and gusty winds in excess of 40 MPH will be possible. If you are in the path of this storm, please seek shelter immediately.

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning – Northwestern Montgomery County Until 5:30 PM CDT

| 4:47 pm April 27, 2016

radar

A Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued for Northwestern Montgomery County until 5:30 PM CDT. Severe thunderstorm was located over southwestern Montgomery, heading to the northeast at 35 MPH. If you are in the path of this storm, please seek shelter immediately. locations in the path of this storm are located below.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 446 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHWESTERN
MONTGOMERY…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING…AND TREES.

* THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR…
PINEDALE AROUND 450 PM CDT.
ALABAMA STATE UNIVERSITY…MAXWELL AIR FORCE BASE AND HUNTER AROUND
455 PM CDT.
MONTGOMERY RIVERWALK STADIUM AND ALABAMA STATE CAPITOL AROUND 500
PM CDT.
BOYLSTON…MONTGOMERY ZOO…GUNTER AIR FORCE BASE…LAGOON PARK…
EASTDALE MALL AND AUBURN UNIVERSITY IN MONTGOMERY AROUND 505 PM
CDT.
BOB WOODRUFF LAKE AROUND 510 PM CDT.
COOSADA AROUND 515 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
TALLAPOOSA WATER PLANT AND MITYLENE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS…
INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 164 AND 176.
INTERSTATE 85 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 9.

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Line of Storms Splitting Apart, Severe Storms In South Alabama

| 4:31 pm April 27, 2016

SimuAWIPS-1630

Showers and thunderstorms are currently over the northwestern part of the state in Lauderdale, Limestone, Colbert, Franklin, Lawrence, Marion and Winston Counties. The rest of the heavy storm activity is located along and west of the I-65 corridor south of I-20.

A Severe Thunderstorm warning is in effect for eastern Lowndes County until 5:00 PM, and for northern Crenshaw and northeastern Butler counties until 4:45 PM.

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As expected, these storms have grown in intensity as we have reached and passed the most intense heating of the day. The SPC has actually removed sections of the state from the “Slight Risk” for severe weather for the rest of tonight, but much of southwest Alabama is still included.

Instability values are higher across the southern half of the state, with some CAPE readings in the 1500-3000 J/kg range. Values are much lower for areas north of the I-20 corridor. Shear values are still relatively low across the state, with much of the higher values still off to the west in Mississippi.

Looks like most of the storm activity will stay below the I-20 corridor with this round of storms, as the former line has broken apart, and the part to the north will be exiting the state to the northeast soon.

Almost the rest of the state is still under a “Marginal Risk” indicating isolated severe storms possible, but limited in duration, coverage, and intensity.

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Montgomery County

| 4:29 pm April 27, 2016

Storms continue strong over South Central Alabama. One is over downtown Montgomery now. Hail and damaging winds are possible along with torrential rains and lightning.

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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTH CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 428 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHWESTERN
MONTGOMERY…MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS…SIDING…AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
MONTGOMERY…AUBURN UNIVERSITY IN MONTGOMERY…BOYLSTON…ALABAMA
STATE UNIVERSITY…GUNTER AIR FORCE BASE…BOB WOODRUFF LAKE…
MONTGOMERY RIVERWALK STADIUM…MONTGOMERY ZOO…LAGOON PARK…EASTDALE
MALL…ALABAMA STATE CAPITOL…TALLAPOOSA WATER PLANT AND MITYLENE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS…
INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 168 AND 171.
INTERSTATE 85 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 6.

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Lowndes County

| 4:10 pm April 27, 2016

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Potentially severe thunderstorm near Calhoun in Lowndes County will move toward Letoatchee and Hayneville. Could eventually affect western parts of Montgomery. Hail and high winds along with lightning and torrential rains are the threats.

Elsewhere across Cetral Alabama, there are strong storms from Perry COunty through Dallas County into Lowndes, Butler, Crenshaw and into Covington Counties in South Alabama.

In the Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston and Gadsden areas: the storms parted to the north and south and missed Tuscaloosa. The Birmingham area is getting out light as well, with the storms mainly passing to the south. There is a cell building west of Calera in Shelby County. It will affect Calera and Columbiana with possible hail and strong winds.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
EASTERN LOWNDES COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 409 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FORT DEPOSIT…
MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS…SIDING…AND TREES.

* THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR…
HAYNEVILLE AROUND 430 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE MANACK…
CALHOUN AND LETOHATCHEE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 142 AND 158.

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