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Dry October Days

| 3:28 pm October 20, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

QUIET FALL WEATHER PATTERN: Nothing on the radar as you might expect on this beautiful fall day. Lots of sun; temperatures are generally in the low 70s at mid-afternoon.

REST OF THE WEEK: Not much change as the dry pattern continues. A fresh surge of cooler and dry air arrives Wednesday; we project sunny pleasant days and fair cool nights through Friday with just a few passing high cirrus clouds from time to time.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Dry air stays in place, and the weather looks fantastic. Mostly sunny days, fair nights. Highs in the 70-75 degree range; lows 45 to 50 degrees. You could not ask for better weather for the Magic City Classic or anything else you want to do outside Saturday and Sunday.

And, in the longer range, still no evidence of any significant chance of rain here through the end of October. Our next shower/thunderstorm event comes sometime in November.

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TROPICS: A disturbance over the Bay of Campeche has a chance of getting better organized in coming days; seems like this will move eastward over the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Caribbean late this week, followed by a northward turn toward Cuba and the southern tip of Florida. This should not impact Alabama in any way; see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps and graphics.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny days, clear nights thorough the weekend from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs 77-81; lows mostly in the 60s. Sea water temperatures are generally in the low 70s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight live from the National Weather Association annual meeting in Salt Lake City, UT. We begin earlier than usual; 6:45p CT. Watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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I enjoyed seeing the 6th graders today at Parrish Elementary School in Walker County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow… enjoy the day…

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Fine Fall Weather Continues

| 6:12 am October 20, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY OCTOBER DAYS: If you enjoyed the weather over the weekend, you should enjoy the weather this week, and for the rest of October.

We are starting off this day with temperatures in the 40s, although Vic Bell up at Black Creek, near Gadsden, reports 38 degrees ay daybreak. The sky will be sunny today with a high in the low 70s. The average high today (for Birmingham) is 74.

A new surge of cooler, dry air arrives Wednesday, and that will keep us rain-free through Friday with mostly sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: No change. Lots of sunshine both days; highs in the 70s and lows in the upper 40s and low 50s. Another great weekend for football or anything else you enjoy outdoors.

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The GFS model really does’t show any significant rain event for our state through Halloween as the dry pattern continues. Keep in mind our fall tornado season comes in November and December; that is a time when the weather tends to get more active with occasional stormy periods.

TROPICS: A disturbance near the Mexican coast in the far southwest Gulf of Mexico has come chance of becoming better organized later this week; some models push this toward the southern tip of Florida. One way or another, it won’t have any impact on our weather in Alabama.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores over the next seven days. Highs 75-80; lows mostly in the 60s. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 70 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. This week we will be live from the National Weather Association annual meeting in Salt Lake City, UT. We will produce the show tonight; the start time is earlier than usual… we begin at 6:45 CT. Watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be going a weather program this morning at Parrish Elementary School in Walker County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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NWA Digital Seal 001D

| 3:26 pm October 19, 2014

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The Internet is a great equalizer. Website and blogging platforms have given everyone a voice. Social media is a powerful megaphone that is accessible to anyone. But the explosion of information on the web has become a double edged sword. One recent example is the Boston Marathon bombing. Photos released on the Internet within hours of the bombing wrongly implicated innocent people and made the job of finding the real perpetrators difficult for investigators.

In no area has this double edged sword reared its ugly side more than in the dissemination of weather information. The general public now has access in real time to nearly every piece of weather information available to professional meteorologists. It has become readily apparent that the other side of the sword can be detrimental when weather information is shared irresponsibly. One of the most common forms this takes is when a single model solution is represented as an absolute forecast and shared and re-shared as such. With many different models and resolutions, you can find a solution for any solution you can imagine. When those model solutions are extreme, the social media universe can quickly catch fire with the information.

The result is that National Weather Service meteorologists and broadcasters find themselves increasingly spending their time to combat misleading or incorrectly interpreted or labeled information.

The National Weather Association, the leading organization for operational meteorologists, recognized the need o provide leadership in this area. Miles Muzio, the Chair of the Broadcast Meteorology Committee has championed the cause of a Seal of Approval for Digital Weathercasters.

The organization has a rich history of producing nearly one thousand Broadcaster Seals for TV Weathercasters. The NWA Broadcaster Seal of Approval is a trusted indicator of that the sealholder has passed a rigorous comprehensive examination and had his or her on air work evaluated by a group of experienced meteorologists.

The NWA approached the idea of a sister seal to the Broadcast Seal very deliberately, debating the merits, procedures, guidelines and ongoing monitoring of introducing such a program. All of the information received intense scrutiny from the National Weather Association Council.

This morning, at the 39th Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, the Digital Seal program was laid out.

I am very thrilled and honored to be the holder of the very first National Weather Association Digital Weather Seal.

Miles Muzio with me and Mike Mogil on stage this morning

Miles Muzio with me and Mike Mogil on stage this morning

I am part of the “Pioneer 3″ as Miles calls the first three recipients, joining the heady company of Jason Samenow of the Capital Weather Gang and Mike Mogil of How the WeatherWorks. We all three passed the same rigorous exam that Broadcast Seal recipients must pass and had our work evaluated according to the Qualifications and Procedures developed by the Broadcast Meteorology Committee. The comprehensive test includes general meteorology, radar meteorology, satellite meteorology, synoptic meteorology, severe weather, climatology and technology/terminology.

We all will be re-certified every three years and our work will be constantly monitored to make sure that it upholds the values of this important distinction.

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I will proudly serve as the Digital Seal Manager.

It was a an incredible moment for me this morning. I look forward to proudly displaying the NWA Digital Seal on Alabama WX. Thank you for the opportunity to share weather information with you, the greatest weather savvy audience on the planet, on a regular basis!

MORE INFORMATION

Press Release

NWA Digital Seal Page

The Pioneer 3

FAQ (PDF Format)

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Phenomenal Fall Weather

| 2:28 pm October 19, 2014

Another gorgeous fall day is underway across the state, and the weather does not get much better than this in Alabama. With only high cirrus clouds in the sky, we are seeing highs climb into the lower 70s. Looking across the Southeast, it is hard to find anything to complain about in the weather world. Hardly a cloud in the sky, temps in the 60s and 70s, and light winds out of the north, which are reinforcing the fall air mass in place. Absolutely beautiful weather!

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If you like the weather this weekend, it will be continuing through the week ahead. Late tomorrow and into Tuesday, we will once again see another dry cold front move through the state, and it will once again provide another reinforcing shot of terrific fall weather. We could see some clouds with this front, but once again, no rain, and once the front moves through, look for sun-filled, blue sky, cool temps, low humidity and beautiful weather. Highs this week will be in the lower 70s, while those overnight lows will mostly be in the 40s with some 50s early in the week. It still looks as though we stay dry the rest of the month.

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Nearly Perfect Autumn Day

| 7:01 am October 19, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

The weather doesn’t get much better than what we will see today. Dry, cool air across the state this morning allowed temperatures to fall into the 40s with upper 30s across Northeast Alabama. With only high cirrus clouds in the sky we should see highs climb into the lower 70s.

In the tropics, Gonzalo was expected to become an extratropical storm today as it continued to accelerate rapidly into the northern Atlantic.

The upper trough over the Mid-Atlantic states will rotate across New England and into the Canadian Maritime provinces Monday as a strong short wave close on the heels of that low digs into the Great Lakes area. This will drag another cold front into and across the Southeast US on Tuesday. Since moisture will not have a chance to return, this front is also expected to pass through without any precipitation associated with it. It will also bring another cool down with lows returning into the 40s.

The upper air pattern remains fast with a ridge affecting us Wednesday and Thursday as the upper trough forms a closed low over the Mid-Atlantic states. We’re on the dry side of things so look for plenty of sunshine and highs only around 70 on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. Friday into Sunday, a short wave trough will move from Iowa southeastward across the Southeast US digging a deep trough into North Florida. However, without any signs of moisture for the trough to work with, it should come through the Southeast dry with only some middle or high clouds to mark its passage. This should bring great weather for high school football on Friday evening.

If your plans include a trip to the beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida, the weather will be dry for the week ahead with highs around 80 dipping into the upper 70s for much of the middle and latter part of the week ahead.

The GFS is showing another good trough moving through the Central US around the 28th of October which could bring a chance for rain to Central Alabama. That is followed by another ridge as we enter November.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video here on Monday morning. Enjoy the lovely autumn weather today. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Cold Front Brings Cool Down

| 7:14 am October 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Dry and pleasant weather is expected to fill the forecast for the next seven days. In fact, we might go all the way to November before the next good rain event for Central Alabama.

A cold front was making its way through Alabama this morning and will usher in some cooler and drier air once again. Highs yesterday made it into the lower 80s for most locations, but the cold front will keep temperatures in check today with highs in the middle 70s.

In the Atlantic, Gonzalo has moved by Bermuda will continue to weaken as it accelerates northeast across the northern Atlantic. In the Pacific, Trudy was along the western coast of Mexico and weakening as it moved slowly ashore.

For those heading to football events today, Alabama hosts Texas A&M at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa with a 2:30 pm kickoff. The sky will be sunny; 74 degrees at kickoff, upper 60s by the fourth quarter. And the UAB Blazers are on the road playing Middle Tennessee State in Murfreesboro (2:30 pm kickoff). Again, a perfect day for football with a sunny sky. Temperatures will fall from near 69 at kickoff to near 62 by the final whistle.

And for the races at Talladega, sunny pleasant days, fair cool nights through the weekend. Afternoon highs today and Sunday will be in the low to mid 70s. Don’t think you could ask for better weather for NASCAR fans.

The weather is expected to stay dry for the week ahead, but the weather pattern remains pretty active. The upper trough responsible for bringing the dry cold front through the state today will move briskly off the Atlantic coast by Sunday. But another trough is forecast to drop in right behind the first one. This one is forecast to close off over the Mid-Atlantic states Wednesday which keeps us on the dry side with a cool, but not especially cold, northwesterly flow. Look for another dry cold front around Wednesday which will drop temperatures back into the lower 70s for highs.

The upper closed low moves off on Friday and Saturday leaving behind troughiness over the Southeast US. So all in all, it looks like dry weather for the week ahead as temperatures warm a little for the middle of the week and then cool off again back to seasonal values for the latter part of the week.

Looking out into voodoo country, the GFS maintains a broad ridge over the eastern half of the country which should keep us dry until early November.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here by 8 am or so on Sunday. Enjoy this lovely day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Cooler Air Arrives Tomorrow

| 3:01 pm October 17, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

TONS O’ SUN: What a delightful afternoon across the great state of Alabama. A sunny sky, low humidity, and temperatures in the 78-82 degree range.

Over the weekend, a new surge of cool air drops in here, giving us a gentle cooling trend and keeping our weather rain-free. We project a high in the low 70s tomorrow, and close to 70 Sunday afternoon with sunshine in full supply both days. The coolest morning will come early Sunday when temperatures drop into the mid 40s; some of the colder valleys could reach the upper 30s.

No real change in our weather next week as moisture is cut off from the region, yet another surge of cooler, drier continental air arrives Wednesday. As we discussed this morning, our next good rain event could very well come in early November.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Doesn’t get any better for the high school games tonight. A clear sky with temperatures will fall through the 60s, reaching the 50s in some stadiums by the fourth quarter.

Tomorrow, Alabama hosts Texas A&M at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (2:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be sunny; 74 degrees at kickoff, upper 60s by the fourth quarter. No risk of rain.

The UAB Blazers are on the road; they play at Middle Tennessee State in Murfreesboro tomorrow (2:30p CT kickoff). Again, a perfect day for football with a sunny sky. Temperatures will fall from near 69 at kickoff, to near 62 by the final whistle.

RACE WEEKEND: Sunny pleasant days, fair cool nights at the Talledega Superspeedway through the weekend. Afternoon highs tomorrow and Sunday will be in the low to mid 70s. Don’t think you could ask for better weather for NASCAR fans.

TROPICS: Hurricane Gonzalo is packing sustained winds of 125 mph (category three) this afternoon, and the eye is nearing the small island of Bermuda…

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And, over in the Pacific, Tropical Storm Ana is packing sustained winds of 70 mph, and could become a minimal hurricane tonight. It will pass west and south of the Hawaiian Islands this weekend.

GULF COAST WEATHER: No rain for the next seven days from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with sunny days and clear nights. Highs will be mostly in the 75 to 80 degree range, with lows generally in the 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

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Calm October Weather Pattern

| 6:07 am October 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

MORNING CHILL: We are starting the day down in the 40s across the great state of Alabama; our Skywatcher at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden, is reporting 42 degrees at daybreak… most communities are in the mid to upper 40s with a clear sky.

The day ahead will be sunny with a big warm-up… the high will be in the 77 to 80 degree range.

THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK: A fresh supply of cooler air will arrive tomorrow; the day will be sunny and breezy at times with a high in the low 70s. Sunday morning will be pretty chilly with mid 40s like; some of the colder pockets over Northeast Alabama will dip into the upper 30s. The day Sunday will feature sunshine in full supply with a high close to 70 degrees.

The air stays dry next week, meaning more great fall weather with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. It would very well be early November before our next really significant rain event in Alabama.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Doesn’t get any better for the high school games tonight. A clear sky with temperatures will fall through the 60s, reaching the 50s in some stadiums by the fourth quarter.

Tomorrow, Alabama hosts Texas A&M at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (2:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be sunny; 74 degrees at kickoff, upper 60s by the fourth quarter. No risk of rain.

The UAB Blazers are on the road; they play at Middle Tennessee State in Murfreesboro tomorrow (2:30p CT kickoff). Again, a perfect day for football with a sunny sky. Temperatures will fall from near 69 at kickoff, to near 62 by the final whistle.

RACE WEEKEND: Sunny pleasant days, fair cool nights at the Talledega Superspeedway through the weekend. Afternoon highs tomorrow and Sunday will be in the low to mid 70s. Don’t think you could ask for better weather for NASCAR fans.

TROPICS: Gonzalo is a major hurricane with sustained winds of 130 mph, it will pass very close to Bermuda late today. Then, it recurves into the North Atlantic, with no impact on the U.S. mainland.

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In the Pacific… Tropical Storm Ana should become a minimal hurricane today; it is expected to pass south and west of the Hawaiian Islands over the weekend.

GULF COAST WEATHER: An easy forecast; sunny pleasant days, fair cool nights through next week. Highs in the 75-80 degree range, lows mostly in the 60s from Panama City over to Gulf Shores.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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