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Warmer Days Ahead

| 3:34 pm February 27, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS AFTERNOON: The sky has become sunny across the great state of Alabama; temperatures are mostly in the low 40s. The snow cover over North Alabama, while fading under the February sun, still shows nicely on visible satellite imagery this afternoon…

spann_2015-Feb-27

OUR WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds; the high will be in the 52-55 degree range. Then, clouds increase Sunday, and we could see a little scattered light rain. Any rain Sunday should be light and spotty; a decent part of the day will be dry. The “wedge” could bring colder air into far East Alabama; communities near the Georgia border could hold in the 40s all day, but for the rest of the state the high will be in the 50s.

ACTIVE WEATHER NEXT WEEK: A cold front will be just north of the state Monday, and we will forecast occasional showers with a high at or just over 60 degrees. Then, on Tuesday, a deep surface low passes northwest of Alabama, and we will mention a chance of showers and storms for the northern half of the state. It will be a warm day with a high up in the low 70s… it still looks like the better risk of any severe thunderstorms will be north and west of Alabama.

WINTER WEATHER MISCHIEF? The 12Z GFS shows the cold front passing through Alabama Wednesday morning; the day will feature falling temperatures and periods of rain. And, like we really need this, it continues to hint at some potential for a “wintry mix” Wednesday night.

thu-12a

While this is not exactly “voodoo”, there is no way to resolve details of this potential so far in advance, and we might escape with no winter precipitation at all. We will keep a close eye on it over the weekend. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FIRST ALERT STORM TEAM TOUR: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama rolls along; we will be in Hanceville next Tuesday evening. Just drop by anytime from 4:00 until 6:30… you can watch me do weather live on ABC 33/40, get some free stuff to take home, and have a chance to win several NOAA Weather Radios we will be giving away. If you need your weather radio programmed or checked, bring it by and we will be glad to help.

FS FIRST ALERT SCHEDULE MARCH 3

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I had great visits today at Oak Grove Elementary in Jefferson County, and West Blocton Elementary in Bibb County… be looking for those kids on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

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Looks Like a Chilly February

| 9:05 am February 27, 2015

February is rapidly coming to a close, and based on the first 26 days of the month, February, 2015, will go in the record books as one of our colder Februarys since 1900. These numbers are preliminary since we have to include today and tomorrow, but for the first 26 days, the average monthly highs was 50.0 degrees which would be the 13th coldest February. The monthly low temperature was not quite as bad with 28.9 degrees which would make it the 26th coldest February since 1900.

I’m definitely ready for some warmer weather!

-Brian-

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Dry Through Tomorrow

| 6:26 am February 27, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD, DRY FRIDAY: A secondary surge of colder air is moving into Alabama today; the high will be around 40, and many communities north of Birmingham won’t get out of the 30s. We expect intervals of sunshine, and the day will be dry.

OUR WEEKEND: Saturday will be warmer; we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the 52 to 55 degree range. Still below average (the average high for February 28 is 62)… but at least we are moving in the right direction. Sunday will be mostly cloudy day with a chance of scattered light rain as moisture returns. Nothing heavy or widespread, but no doubt some rain is possible during the day. Also, a CAD (cold air damming) setup could bring colder air into East Alabama; the high Sunday will vary from the mid 40s near the Georgia border to the upper 50s near the Mississippi border.

NEXT WEEK: The wedge breaks down Monday and our high will be close to 60. A cold front approaching from the north should bring occasional showers; maybe some thunder. Tuesday will be the warmest day of the week as an upper ridge creeps in here from the south; the GFS is now printing a high of 74 for Birmingham. A deep surface low will run through the Great Plains; we will need to monitor for the potential of strong/severe thunderstorms, but at the moment it looks like the best dynamic forcing will be a little north and west of our state. Best chance of showers/storms Tuesday will come over the northern counties; South Alabama will be dry thanks to the ridge, and communities south of Montgomery could very well approach 80 degrees.

The front creeps through Wednesday as the chance of rain continues; some global model runs have suggested a pretty good wave will run along the front, enhancing the coverage of rain. I figure rain amounts of 2 to 3 inches are likely Monday through Wednesday.

Much colder air returns Thursday; if you believe the 06Z GFS we won’t get of the 30s, and it even hints at some risk of wintry precipitation early in the day. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2015022700_min_max_16

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have weather programs today at Oak Grove Elementary in Jefferson County, and West Blocton Elementary in Bibb County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Snow Storm Reports

| 6:36 pm February 26, 2015

The NWS in Birmingham prepared the Public Information Statement that I have posted below which details the reports of the snow amounts by county. If there is one thing that everyone should take away from this is that snowfall is not usually uniform with sizable variations across relatively short distances. Please note the caveat at the bottom of the statement.

-Brian-

NOUS44 KBMX 261151
PNSBMX
ALZ011>015-017>050-262351-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
551 AM CST THU FEB 26 2015

...HISTORIC WINTER STORM OF FEBRUARY 25, 2015 PRELIMINARY
SNOWFALL REPORTS...

LOCATION                     AMOUNT    TIME/DATE       LAT/LON

...BLOUNT COUNTY...
1 ESE FOWLER SPRING          10.0 IN   1006 PM 02/25   34.03N/86.57W
CLEVELAND                    9.0 IN    0920 PM 02/25   33.99N/86.57W
3 WSW BROOKSVILLE            8.5 IN    0920 PM 02/25   34.17N/86.52W
3 NE ONEONTA                 8.5 IN    1048 PM 02/25   33.98N/86.43W
1 WNW SNEAD                  8.2 IN    0940 PM 02/25   34.12N/86.40W
3 SSW HAYDEN                 6.5 IN    0940 PM 02/25   33.86N/86.78W
1 NE HAYDEN                  6.0 IN    0920 PM 02/25   33.91N/86.74W
ROSA                         6.0 IN    0925 PM 02/25   33.99N/86.51W
1 N LOCUST FORK              5.5 IN    0845 PM 02/25   33.91N/86.62W
1 NNW SUSAN MOORE            5.5 IN    1020 PM 02/25   34.09N/86.44W
1 NNE ALLGOOD                5.0 IN    0957 PM 02/25   33.92N/86.51W
1 E COUNTY LINE              5.0 IN    1004 PM 02/25   33.82N/86.71W
ONEONTA                      5.0 IN    0558 PM 02/25   33.95N/86.47W

...CALHOUN COUNTY...
3 E KNIGHTENS CROSSROADS     5.0 IN    0900 PM 02/25   33.95N/85.67W
PIEDMONT                     5.0 IN    1000 PM 02/25   33.93N/85.62W
2 S JACKSONVILLE             3.0 IN    0955 PM 02/25   33.78N/85.76W
6 WSW KNIGHTENS CROSSROADS   3.0 IN    0953 PM 02/25   33.91N/85.80W
3 NNE SULPHUR SPRINGS        3.0 IN    0953 PM 02/25   33.88N/85.85W
1 NNW JACKSONVILLE STATE UNI 2.0 IN    0925 PM 02/25   33.83N/85.77W
2 W WEST END-COBB TOWN       0.2 IN    1005 PM 02/25   33.65N/85.90W

...CHEROKEE COUNTY...
CEDAR BLUFF                  8.0 IN    1008 PM 02/25   34.22N/85.60W
CENTRE                       7.5 IN    0827 PM 02/25   34.15N/85.67W
LEESBURG                     7.0 IN    0731 PM 02/25   34.18N/85.77W
2 SSE BROOMTOWN              6.0 IN    0925 PM 02/25   34.33N/85.51W
SAND ROCK                    6.0 IN    0559 PM 02/25   34.24N/85.77W
BROOMTOWN                    5.0 IN    0638 PM 02/25   34.36N/85.52W
2 ESE CHESNUT BAY RESORT     5.0 IN    0740 PM 02/25   34.20N/85.67W
FORNEY                       4.0 IN    0802 PM 02/25   34.09N/85.46W

...CLEBURNE COUNTY...
BORDEN SPRINGS               2.5 IN    0805 PM 02/25   33.93N/85.47W
OAK LEVEL                    2.0 IN    0805 PM 02/25   33.85N/85.48W

...ETOWAH COUNTY...
BLACK CREEK                  9.0 IN    0830 PM 02/25   34.17N/85.90W
MOUNTAINBORO                 9.0 IN    1000 PM 02/25   34.15N/86.13W
1 W ALTOONA                  8.0 IN    0959 PM 02/25   34.03N/86.33W
HOKES BLUFF                  8.0 IN    0902 PM 02/25   34.00N/85.86W
2 SSW NOCCALULA FALLS        7.5 IN    0920 PM 02/25   34.02N/86.04W
2 E NOCCALULA FALLS          7.5 IN    0846 PM 02/25   34.04N/86.00W
RAINBOW CITY                 7.5 IN    0950 PM 02/25   33.95N/86.04W
2 N GLENCOE                  7.0 IN    0925 PM 02/25   33.99N/85.94W
3 E WALNUT GROVE             7.0 IN    0215 AM 02/26   34.06N/86.24W
GADSDEN                      6.5 IN    1025 PM 02/25   34.01N/86.00W
KEENER                       6.0 IN    0925 PM 02/25   34.16N/85.95W
1 SE ATTALLA                 5.2 IN    0530 PM 02/25   34.00N/86.09W
GLENCOE                      5.0 IN    1004 PM 02/25   33.96N/85.93W
2 SE SOUTHSIDE               5.0 IN    0920 PM 02/25   33.91N/86.00W

...FAYETTE COUNTY...
2 SSE GLEN ALLEN             9.0 IN    0900 PM 02/25   33.88N/87.73W
FOWLER'S CROSSROADS          6.0 IN    0920 PM 02/25   33.80N/87.66W
2 ESE BLUFF                  5.2 IN    0930 PM 02/25   33.81N/87.87W
FAYETTE                      3.5 IN    0648 PM 02/25   33.69N/87.83W

...JEFFERSON COUNTY...
KIMBERLY                     4.0 IN    0959 PM 02/25   33.77N/86.80W
MORRIS                       3.0 IN    0851 PM 02/25   33.75N/86.81W
BIRMINGPORT                  2.0 IN    1000 PM 02/25   33.57N/87.11W
1 ENE MOUNT OLIVE            2.0 IN    0940 PM 02/25   33.68N/86.84W
1 SE OAK GROVE               2.0 IN    0958 PM 02/25   33.46N/87.15W
BIRMINGHAM AIRPORT           1.0 IN    0848 PM 02/25   33.56N/86.77W
1 WNW LEEDS                  1.0 IN    0958 PM 02/25   33.55N/86.56W
WEST JEFFERSON               1.0 IN    0750 PM 02/25   33.65N/87.07W
1 NNW FORESTDALE             0.8 IN    0925 PM 02/25   33.58N/86.90W
3 SW HUEYTOWN                0.8 IN    0955 PM 02/25   33.42N/87.03W
1 S BESSEMER                 0.7 IN    1000 PM 02/25   33.38N/86.96W
2 ENE CLOVERDALE             0.5 IN    0915 PM 02/25   33.61N/86.69W
FULTONDALE                   0.5 IN    1001 PM 02/25   33.62N/86.80W
1 NE GARDENDALE              0.5 IN    0816 PM 02/25   33.67N/86.80W
1 N HOOVER MET               0.5 IN    1000 PM 02/25   33.36N/86.85W
1 SE KINGSTON                0.5 IN    0928 PM 02/25   33.53N/86.76W
PINSON                       0.5 IN    0758 PM 02/25   33.69N/86.68W
2 SSW RUFFNER MOUNTAIN       0.2 IN    0802 PM 02/25   33.54N/86.71W

...LAMAR COUNTY...
SULLIGENT                    11.0 IN   0846 PM 02/25   33.89N/88.13W
VERNON                       7.5 IN    0820 PM 02/25   33.76N/88.11W
DETROIT                      6.0 IN    0510 PM 02/25   34.03N/88.17W
MILLPORT                     5.0 IN    0630 PM 02/25   33.56N/88.08W

...MARION COUNTY...
GUIN                         12.7 IN   1059 PM 02/25   33.97N/87.91W
4 S HAMILTON                 12.0 IN   0925 PM 02/25   34.08N/87.97W
1 E WINFIELD                 11.5 IN   0900 PM 02/25   33.93N/87.80W
HAMILTON                     11.0 IN   0920 PM 02/25   34.14N/87.98W
1 W WINFIELD                 11.0 IN   0925 PM 02/25   33.93N/87.83W
2 N BYRD                     10.5 IN   0925 PM 02/25   34.11N/88.13W
3 NE HAMILTON                10.0 IN   0900 PM 02/25   34.18N/87.95W
BRILLIANT                    9.5 IN    0740 PM 02/25   34.02N/87.78W
4 SW HACKLEBURG              9.0 IN    0630 PM 02/25   34.24N/87.89W

...RANDOLPH COUNTY...
2 WSW DICKERT                0.5 IN    0851 PM 02/25   33.13N/85.50W

...SHELBY COUNTY...
1 ENE RIVERCHASE             1.0 IN    0844 PM 02/25   33.36N/86.79W
1 SW CHELSEA                 0.5 IN    0900 PM 02/25   33.33N/86.64W
HOOVER VETERANS PARK         0.5 IN    0920 PM 02/25   33.39N/86.73W
1 NNE HOOVER VETERANS PARK   0.5 IN    0848 PM 02/25   33.40N/86.72W
LAKE PURDY COMMUNITY         0.5 IN    0847 PM 02/25   33.43N/86.68W
1 NW SHOAL CREEK GOLF CLUB   0.5 IN    1012 PM 02/25   33.45N/86.63W
JOE TUCKER PARK              0.4 IN    1005 PM 02/25   33.29N/86.85W
2 WSW HELENA                 0.2 IN    0222 AM 02/26   33.29N/86.87W
VINCENT                      0.2 IN    0827 PM 02/25   33.39N/86.41W

...ST. CLAIR COUNTY...
ODENVILLE                    2.0 IN    0900 PM 02/25   33.69N/86.40W
SPRINGVILLE                  2.0 IN    0945 PM 02/25   33.77N/86.48W
2 ENE ODENVILLE              1.2 IN    1000 PM 02/25   33.70N/86.37W
2 ENE ODENVILLE              1.2 IN    1000 PM 02/25   33.70N/86.37W
1 SSW ARGO                   1.0 IN    0940 PM 02/25   33.68N/86.52W
1 N CROPWELL                 1.0 IN    0916 PM 02/25   33.56N/86.27W

...TALLADEGA COUNTY...
2 SE ALPINE BAY RESORT       0.5 IN    1000 PM 02/25   33.42N/86.27W

...TUSCALOOSA COUNTY...
3 N LAKE NICOL PARK          1.0 IN    0846 PM 02/25   33.35N/87.47W
5 NNE LAKE TCL HWY 69 BRIDGE 1.0 IN    0731 PM 02/25   33.41N/87.51W
2 WNW SEXTON BEND            1.0 IN    0848 PM 02/25   33.32N/87.57W
COKER                        0.5 IN    0851 PM 02/25   33.25N/87.69W
4 E LAKE LURLEEN STATE PARK  0.5 IN    1002 PM 02/25   33.31N/87.61W
1 NW NORTHPORT               0.5 IN    0731 PM 02/25   33.24N/87.59W
4 W SEXTON BEND              0.5 IN    0955 PM 02/25   33.31N/87.60W
2 N UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA    0.5 IN    0750 PM 02/25   33.24N/87.54W
SHELTON STATE COMM COLLEGE   0.2 IN    1006 PM 02/25   33.12N/87.56W
COALING                      0.0 IN    1000 PM 02/25   33.16N/87.34W
2 N MOORES BRIDGE            0.0 IN    0638 PM 02/25   33.48N/87.79W

...WALKER COUNTY...
NAUVOO                       11.0 IN   1000 PM 02/25   33.99N/87.49W
CURRY                        9.0 IN    0600 PM 02/25   33.96N/87.21W
1 SSE LUPTON                 7.5 IN    0535 PM 02/25   33.92N/87.39W
1 E GAMBLE                   6.5 IN    0818 PM 02/25   33.88N/87.31W
MANCHESTER                   5.8 IN    0600 PM 02/25   33.90N/87.25W
2 N WALKER COUNTY AIRPORT    5.5 IN    0920 PM 02/25   33.93N/87.32W
1 ENE SUMITON                4.5 IN    0935 PM 02/25   33.76N/87.03W
GOODSPRINGS                  2.0 IN    0925 PM 02/25   33.67N/87.25W

...WINSTON COUNTY...
NATURAL BRIDGE               12.0 IN   0959 PM 02/25   34.09N/87.60W
HALEYVILLE                   11.0 IN   0729 PM 02/25   34.24N/87.62W
LYNN                         11.0 IN   0924 PM 02/25   34.04N/87.55W
BLACK POND                   10.0 IN   1140 PM 02/25   34.07N/87.37W
WINSTON FREE STATE BARN      10.0 IN   0945 PM 02/25   34.16N/87.41W
2 ESE NEEDMORE               9.5 IN    0646 PM 02/25   34.24N/87.57W
3 NNE HOUSTON                9.0 IN    0925 PM 02/25   34.18N/87.23W
4 W LAKE SHORE               9.0 IN    0910 PM 02/25   34.00N/87.27W

OBSERVATIONS ARE COLLECTED FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES WITH VARYING
EQUIPMENT AND EXPOSURE. NOT ALL DATA LISTED ARE CONSIDERED OFFICIAL.\
SOME OF THESE SNOWFALL REPORTS OCCURRED BEFORE SNOWFALL ENDED...AND
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS MAY BE HIGHER. WE ENCOURAGE EVERYONE TO SUBMIT THEIR
LATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO OUR SOCIAL MEDIA FEEDS @NWSBIRMINGHAM ON
TWITTER AND FACEBOOK. #ALWX #BMXWX
$$

NWS BIRMINGHAM AL

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Severe Weather Survey

| 4:25 pm February 26, 2015

WeatherBrains Panelist Rick Smith, who is the outstanding Warnings Coordination Meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Norman, Oklahoma, has been working with a couple of very bright OU senior met students on their Capstone project, which involves learning how people process and respond to severe weather information.

They developed a quick survey and are collecting responses for the next week or so.

Please take a moment to participate in the survey.

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Much Warmer Next Week, But Wet

| 3:20 pm February 26, 2015

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; need to take time to review the many thousands of great snow images sent in over the past 24 hours!**

DRY THROUGH SATURDAY: Most of the sun across Alabama today has been over the southwest part of the state…

GOES20452015057aUprVR

A secondary surge of colder air will drop down into Alabama tonight; tomorrow’s high will be close to 40 degrees with a few intervals of sunshine.

Looks like the sky will be generally cloudy Saturday as the weekend begins; we might need to mention the risk of a sprinkle or two, but at the moment we will leave the forecast dry with a high in the low 50s. Then, moisture deepens Sunday and a little scattered light rain could break out. Not heavy or widespread. Sunday’s high will also be in the 50-53 degree range.

WARMER AND WET: At least the first half of next week looks warmer, wet, and unsettled. We rise to near 60 degrees Monday with periods of rain during the day. Then, on Tuesday, the GFS continue to print a high in the low 70s as the big thaw continues. Showers are possible Tuesday, and we will monitor a surface low passing well northwest of the state Tuesday evening. For now it looks like the main dynamic support will stay far enough to the north to prevent a severe weather threat.

Wednesday will be another wet day as a wave forms on a surface front near the Tennessee border. The rain finally will end late Wednesday night or early Thursday as the low pulls away to the northeast. Rain amounts of 2-3 inches are likely Monday through Wednesday; some spots could see more.

Then, at the end of next week another shot of cold air returns; we will struggle to reach the mid 40s by Thursday afternoon.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the 1st graders at Chelsea Park Elementary in Shelby County… look for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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