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Late Season Chill Continues

| 7:30 am March 28, 2015

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A late season chill brought temperatures into the 30s across Central Alabama with some of those typically colder spots dipping all the way into the upper 20s. It will be another somewhat chilly day today even with the sunny start as highs climb only into the lower and middle 50s. A fast moving disturbance in the deep trough over the eastern US will bring back clouds this afternoon with a small risk for showers or light rain late this afternoon and into early Sunday morning.

It will be another chilly start to the day Sunday with a freeze warning for much of Central Alabama. Sunday will be partly sunny with temperatures warming into the upper 50s and lower 60s as we recover from another cold morning. The dry weather does not last long as another cold front promises to bring another shot of rain to the area Sunday night and early Monday. But this front does not pack much of a cold punch as the stronger westerlies stay well to our north.

The week ahead remains somewhat unsettled with some chance for rain thanks in part to a series of weak disturbances moving through the generally zonal flow. This should allow us to warm for much of the week ahead until another cold front brings another drop in temperatures for the weekend, though this cool down does not appear to be as significant as the current event.

AT THE BEACH: Chilly on the Gulf sands with temperatures dropping into the 40s this morning from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores. Look for mostly sunny days and fair nights through Monday; highs will be in the 60s over the weekend, and back in the low 70s Monday. A few widely scattered showers could show up Tuesday and Wednesday, but there will still be some decent intervals of sunshine both days. Showers and storms will be more likely Thursday of next week, but even then it won’t rain all day.

Looking out into voodoo country, the spring tends to be a time with a lot of action as the upper flow remains fairly active. And that seems to be the screaming message for week 2. The GFS is showing a very vigorous system around April 8th that could produce a severe weather episode for the Central and Eastern US. That system is followed by another fairly substantial chill down. While March has been rather quiet for severe weather, April is out biggest month, so the forecast looks reasonable.

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I’ll be taking the Storm Chaser to Gallant today for an open house at their new storm shelter. The next Weather Xtreme Video should be posted first thing on Sunday morning. Have a great day, stay warm, and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Freeze Warning

| 3:39 pm March 27, 2015

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COLD NIGHTS AHEAD: NWS offices in Birmingham and Huntsville have issued freeze and frost advisories for tonight and tomorrow night as unseasonably cold air settles into the state. Most communities will see a low between 29 and 34 degrees both mornings; colder readings will come over North and East Alabama, but some frost is very possible on the western side of the state as well.

Tomorrow will be very cool with a mix of sun and clouds and a high only around 50 degrees; many places north of Birmingham won’t make it out of the 40s. A disturbance rotating down the back side of the big upper trough over the eastern U.S. could squeeze out a little light rain during the afternoon and evening hours, mainly west of I-65. Rain amounts if any will be very light and spotty.

Sunday will feature a good supply of sunshine; we reach the low to mid 60s Sunday afternoon as a warming trend begins.

NEXT WEEK: A warm front will move northward Monday, and showers are likely, although it won’t rain all day. Then, on Tuesday, just a small risk of a shower with a mix of sun and clouds along with a high in the low 70s. Then, we will mention a chance of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday, but the good news is that global models continue to back off on the chance of severe weather, now suggesting the main dynamic support will be well north of Alabama. See the blog and the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Tonight will be cold; temperatures will drop into the 40s early tomorrow morning from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores. Look for mostly sunny days and fair nights through Monday; highs will be in the 60s over the weekend, and back in the low 70s Monday. A few widely scattered showers could show up Tuesday and Wednesday, but there will still be some decent intervals of sunshine both days. Showers and storms will be more likely Thursday of next week, but even then it won’t rain all day.

ON THIS DATE IN 1994: Twenty people were killed inside the Goshen United Methodist Church in southern Cherokee County on Palm Sunday during a Palm Sunday service. This is part of an ABC 33/40 special that aired in 2004, ten years after the tragedy…

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the kindergarten students at Paine Primary School in Trussville… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

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A Freeze Possible Early Tomorrow

| 6:13 am March 27, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILLY NORTH WIND: Following the cold front that passed through Alabama last night, expect a very cool late March day today with a high only in the mid 50s with a partly sunny sky. This is about 15 degrees below average, and a north wind of 12-22 mph will make it feel colder.

With a deep, cold core upper trough passing overhead, I can’t rule out a few isolated showers late this afternoon or early tonight due to the very cold air aloft. But, most places will be dry.

FREEZE POTENTIAL: We project a low in the 29-34 degree range for early tomorrow. Highest freeze possibility will come from the Birmingham metro north and east. The day tomorrow will be cold for late March; the GFS is printing a high of only 48 degrees for Birmingham. We expect a mix of sun and clouds; a touch of light rain can’t be ruled out during the afternoon and evening hours over West Alabama, but any rain will be vert light and spotty.

SUNDAY: Another cold morning; lows will be in the 30-35 degree range at daybreak. Then, a warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the low 60s.

NEXT WEEK: A warm front will be lifting northward across the state Monday, so a few showers are likely during the day with a high in the upper 60s. For the moment, Tuesday looks relatively dry with only isolated showers, but the chance of rain will increase again by Wednesday and Thursday with short wave energy approaching from the west. Global models continue to back off on the idea of strong to severe storms with weaker dynamics and marginal instability, but this could still change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: After showers and storms last night, expect clearing and cooler weather on the coast today from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with a high in the mid 60s. The weekend will feature a good supply of sunshine tomorrow and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s… a few scattered showers are possible early next week, but still expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will be close to 70 degrees on those three afternoons. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 67 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have a weather program this morning at Paine Primary School in Trussville… then I will be speaking later today at a meeting of the Cullman Chamber of Commerce. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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Isolated Strong Storms Could Become Severe

| 5:33 pm March 26, 2015

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Strong storms are occurring this afternoon over Central Alabama from Bibb County southwestward to near Demopolis and Uniontown.

They are moving northeast at 35 mph and will affect Shelby County, starting around Montevallo then moving to near Alabaster and Calera.

The storms have copious lightning and heavy rain as well as some small hail and gusty winds. Hail to near 1 inch may be falling in a hail core crossing AL-5 just north of Centreville.

The stronger storms could become severe, especially the Bibb-Shelby storm, but overall the threat is isolated. The SPC has included the area from Aliceville to Tuscaloosa to Hoover to Millerville to Montgomery and points southwest in the new marginal severe weather risk category. This is the old See Text category, which is for isolated severe weather threats.

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Showers Tonight; Colder Tomorrow

| 3:42 pm March 26, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Still not much happening on radar this afternoon; we do note a strong thunderstorm near Demopolis, and a band of showers over Northwest Alabama. Temperatures are mostly in the 70s with a mostly cloudy sky. A cold front is moving into the northwest corner of Alabama; behind the front temperatures are barely out of the 40s at Memphis and Nashville.

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Showers and a few thunderstorms are likely this evening, but rain amounts won’t be especially heavy, and there is no really significant threat of severe weather. We do note SPC has a “marginal” severe weather risk up for parts of Central and Southwest Alabama for potential for a few strong wind gusts. Showers will end soon after midnight.

COLDER TOMORROW: A chilly north wind of 12-22 mph will usher in some pretty chilly air for late March tomorrow; the sky will be partly sunny with a high in the mid 50s.

FREEZE POTENTIAL: We have potential for a late season freeze across North/Central Alabama both Saturday and Sunday morning. The 12Z run of the GFS is printing a low of 31 degrees for Birmingham early Saturday, and 32 degrees early Sunday. Most places will see a low between 30 and 35 degrees, with potential for 20s in the colder valleys. Growers beware.

Saturday looks mostly dry; we will hang on to a slight risk of a little light rain Saturday afternoon with an impulse coming down the back side of the upper trough over the eastern U.S… but dewpoints will be very low, and it sure looks like most communities won’t have enough rain to measure. Saturday will remain very cool with a high between 50 and 55 degrees.

A warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a high in the mid 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: Moist air returns Monday, and a few scattered showers are possible. We will have to maintain a chance of showers Tuesday; we project a high in the upper 60s Monday and low 70s Tuesday as the warming trend continues.

The GFS is backing off on the intensity of the mid-week system; showers and storms are likely late Wednesday into Thursday, but dynamic support looks less impressive at this point. But, understand we are still a week away from this event and things could change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: After showers and storms tonight, expect clearing and cooler weather on the coast tomorrow from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with a high in the mid 60s. The weekend will feature a good supply of sunshine Saturday and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s… a few scattered showers are possible early next week, but still expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will be close to 70 degrees on those three afternoons. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 67 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Paine Intermediate School in Trussville… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Cold Front Moves In Tonight

| 6:26 am March 26, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

BIG CHANGES AHEAD: We will squeeze out one more mild day; temperatures will reach the mid to upper 70s this afternoon across the great state of Alabama. Clouds will increase during the day, and we could see a few showers this afternoon. The organized band of showers, and possibly a thunderstorm, along the cold front will pass through between 5:00 p.m. and 12:00 midnight. Despite the severe weather event yesterday in Oklahoma and Arkansas, no severe storms are expected in Alabama with marginal instability and weakening dynamics.

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COLD AIR RETURNS: Tomorrow’s high will be only in the mid 50s, over 20 degrees colder than today, and well below the average high of 69 degrees for March 27. The sky will be partly sunny, and a north wind of 12-22 mph will make it feel colder.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Temperatures will drop into the 30-35 degree range early Saturday. A freeze is possible, and some frost is likely across North/Central Alabama. Then, the day will be cool with a high in the low to mid 50s. The GFS is now back on the idea of an impulse riding down the back side of the upper trough over the eastern U.S., and suggests a little light rain is possible Saturday afternoon over the northern counties of the state. The airmass will be pretty dry, so rain amounts, if any, will be light and spotty. But I do think we need to insert that risk of a few raindrops.

Sunday morning will be cold with lows in the 30s, but a warm-up begins Sunday afternoon as temperatures rise into the mid 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: The warming trend continues Monday and Tuesday; we will mention a small risk of a shower Monday, with a better chance of scattered showers Tuesday. Then, a more significant storm system should bring a round of organized showers and storms by Wednesday night. Strong storms are possible, but it remains to seen if this will be a severe weather threat. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have weather programs today at Paine Intermediate School in Trussville, and at McGuffey Health Care in Gadsden. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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