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A Freeze Possible Early Tomorrow

| 6:13 am March 27, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILLY NORTH WIND: Following the cold front that passed through Alabama last night, expect a very cool late March day today with a high only in the mid 50s with a partly sunny sky. This is about 15 degrees below average, and a north wind of 12-22 mph will make it feel colder.

With a deep, cold core upper trough passing overhead, I can’t rule out a few isolated showers late this afternoon or early tonight due to the very cold air aloft. But, most places will be dry.

FREEZE POTENTIAL: We project a low in the 29-34 degree range for early tomorrow. Highest freeze possibility will come from the Birmingham metro north and east. The day tomorrow will be cold for late March; the GFS is printing a high of only 48 degrees for Birmingham. We expect a mix of sun and clouds; a touch of light rain can’t be ruled out during the afternoon and evening hours over West Alabama, but any rain will be vert light and spotty.

SUNDAY: Another cold morning; lows will be in the 30-35 degree range at daybreak. Then, a warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the low 60s.

NEXT WEEK: A warm front will be lifting northward across the state Monday, so a few showers are likely during the day with a high in the upper 60s. For the moment, Tuesday looks relatively dry with only isolated showers, but the chance of rain will increase again by Wednesday and Thursday with short wave energy approaching from the west. Global models continue to back off on the idea of strong to severe storms with weaker dynamics and marginal instability, but this could still change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: After showers and storms last night, expect clearing and cooler weather on the coast today from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with a high in the mid 60s. The weekend will feature a good supply of sunshine tomorrow and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s… a few scattered showers are possible early next week, but still expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will be close to 70 degrees on those three afternoons. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 67 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have a weather program this morning at Paine Primary School in Trussville… then I will be speaking later today at a meeting of the Cullman Chamber of Commerce. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Showers Tonight; Colder Tomorrow

| 3:42 pm March 26, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Still not much happening on radar this afternoon; we do note a strong thunderstorm near Demopolis, and a band of showers over Northwest Alabama. Temperatures are mostly in the 70s with a mostly cloudy sky. A cold front is moving into the northwest corner of Alabama; behind the front temperatures are barely out of the 40s at Memphis and Nashville.

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Showers and a few thunderstorms are likely this evening, but rain amounts won’t be especially heavy, and there is no really significant threat of severe weather. We do note SPC has a “marginal” severe weather risk up for parts of Central and Southwest Alabama for potential for a few strong wind gusts. Showers will end soon after midnight.

COLDER TOMORROW: A chilly north wind of 12-22 mph will usher in some pretty chilly air for late March tomorrow; the sky will be partly sunny with a high in the mid 50s.

FREEZE POTENTIAL: We have potential for a late season freeze across North/Central Alabama both Saturday and Sunday morning. The 12Z run of the GFS is printing a low of 31 degrees for Birmingham early Saturday, and 32 degrees early Sunday. Most places will see a low between 30 and 35 degrees, with potential for 20s in the colder valleys. Growers beware.

Saturday looks mostly dry; we will hang on to a slight risk of a little light rain Saturday afternoon with an impulse coming down the back side of the upper trough over the eastern U.S… but dewpoints will be very low, and it sure looks like most communities won’t have enough rain to measure. Saturday will remain very cool with a high between 50 and 55 degrees.

A warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a high in the mid 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: Moist air returns Monday, and a few scattered showers are possible. We will have to maintain a chance of showers Tuesday; we project a high in the upper 60s Monday and low 70s Tuesday as the warming trend continues.

The GFS is backing off on the intensity of the mid-week system; showers and storms are likely late Wednesday into Thursday, but dynamic support looks less impressive at this point. But, understand we are still a week away from this event and things could change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: After showers and storms tonight, expect clearing and cooler weather on the coast tomorrow from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with a high in the mid 60s. The weekend will feature a good supply of sunshine Saturday and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s… a few scattered showers are possible early next week, but still expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will be close to 70 degrees on those three afternoons. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 67 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Paine Intermediate School in Trussville… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Cold Front Moves In Tonight

| 6:26 am March 26, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

BIG CHANGES AHEAD: We will squeeze out one more mild day; temperatures will reach the mid to upper 70s this afternoon across the great state of Alabama. Clouds will increase during the day, and we could see a few showers this afternoon. The organized band of showers, and possibly a thunderstorm, along the cold front will pass through between 5:00 p.m. and 12:00 midnight. Despite the severe weather event yesterday in Oklahoma and Arkansas, no severe storms are expected in Alabama with marginal instability and weakening dynamics.

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COLD AIR RETURNS: Tomorrow’s high will be only in the mid 50s, over 20 degrees colder than today, and well below the average high of 69 degrees for March 27. The sky will be partly sunny, and a north wind of 12-22 mph will make it feel colder.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Temperatures will drop into the 30-35 degree range early Saturday. A freeze is possible, and some frost is likely across North/Central Alabama. Then, the day will be cool with a high in the low to mid 50s. The GFS is now back on the idea of an impulse riding down the back side of the upper trough over the eastern U.S., and suggests a little light rain is possible Saturday afternoon over the northern counties of the state. The airmass will be pretty dry, so rain amounts, if any, will be light and spotty. But I do think we need to insert that risk of a few raindrops.

Sunday morning will be cold with lows in the 30s, but a warm-up begins Sunday afternoon as temperatures rise into the mid 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: The warming trend continues Monday and Tuesday; we will mention a small risk of a shower Monday, with a better chance of scattered showers Tuesday. Then, a more significant storm system should bring a round of organized showers and storms by Wednesday night. Strong storms are possible, but it remains to seen if this will be a severe weather threat. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have weather programs today at Paine Intermediate School in Trussville, and at McGuffey Health Care in Gadsden. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Colder Air Returns By Friday

| 3:40 pm March 25, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

MILD LATE MARCH DAY: Temperatures are in the 70s across the great state of Alabama this afternoon with a mixture of sun and clouds; no rain on radar, and tonight’s weather will stay dry.

TO THE WEST: A severe thunderstorm watch is up for parts of Oklahoma, Arkansas, and some of the adjacent states ahead of a push of colder air; large hail is the main threat in that region this evening, although an isolated tornado is not out of the question.

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COLD FRONT MOVES IN HERE TOMORROW NIGHT: Clouds will increase tomorrow ahead of the front, and a shower is possible by mid to late afternoon, but the better chance of showers will come early tomorrow night. Seems like the core window for showers will be from about 3:00 p.m. tomorrow through 3:00 a.m. Friday. Some thunder is possible with a little surface based instability available, but no severe weather is expected, and rain will average around a quarter of an inch.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Friday will be a rather blustery day with a chilly north wind of 12-22 mph and a high only in the 52-55 degree range. The day will be dry with a partly sunny sky. The weekend weather headline continues to be the potential for freezing temperatures early Saturday and Sunday morning. Early morning lows both mornings will be in the 30-35 degree range…. but the air will be dry and both days will feature a good supply of sunshine. The high Saturday will remain in the low to mid 50s, but we rise into the mid 60s Sunday afternoon as a warming trend begins.

NEXT WEEK: Just a slight risk of a shower Monday, otherwise dry weather continues Monday and Tuesday with the warm-up continuing. The GFS continues to advertise a potent mid-week system that could bring the threat of strong to severe storms to the Deep South by Wednesday night… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd and 4th graders at Hamilton Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Cold Front Arrives Tomorrow Night

| 6:19 am March 25, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ACTIVE WEATHER TO THE WEST: Rather benign weather continues across Alabama today with a mix of sun and clouds and afternoon highs in the 70s. An isolated shower is not completely out of the question, but most places stay dry.

Severe storms are possible west of Alabama later today and tonight; SPC has an “enhanced” severe weather risk of parts of Oklahoma and Arkansas…

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This is one of the new severe weather risk categories; it is between a “slight” and “moderate” risk.

COLD FRONT ARRIVES TOMORROW NIGHT: Clouds increase tomorrow, and showers are likely late in the day and tomorrow night as the cold front passes through. There could be some thunder, but there is no risk of organized severe weather. The main window for showers will come from about 5:00 p.m. tomorrow through 3:00 a.m. Sunday, and rain amounts will be under 1/2 inch.

COLDER AIR FRIDAY: Friday will be dry, but colder and blustery with a north wind of 12-22 mph. Temperatures won’t get past the mid 50s despite a decent amount of sunshine. And, by Saturday morning, temperatures will drop into the low 30s setting up the potential for a late season freeze.

Saturday will be dry but pretty chilly for late March; the GFS is printing a high of only 52 degrees for Birmingham… some North Alabama communities won’t get out of the 40s. Another freeze is possible early Sunday with a low back down in the low 30s.

Then, a warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the mid 60s.

NEXT WEEK: We warm into the low 70s Monday and Tuesday; a few isolated showers are possible on these days, but the weather will be generally dry. Then, a potent system could bring strong storms and heavy rain to Alabama at mid-week on Wednesday, and possibly into Thursday. Way too early to define a specific severe weather threat… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Hamilton Elementary School in Marion County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Showers Thursday Night; Colder Friday

| 3:45 pm March 24, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS AFTERNOON: Much like yesterday, the sky is generally sunny north of I-20, and mostly cloudy south of I-20…

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Where the sun is out, temperatures are in the 70s… with 60s elsewhere. Nothing showing up on radar.

NORTHWEST OF ALABAMA: We finally have the first severe weather watch issued by SPC during the month of March for parts of OK/MO/KS/AR… the latest “first-March” watch since 1970.

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TOMORROW: A few small, isolated showers are possible, but most Alabama communities will stay dry tomorrow with a mix of sun and clouds; the high will be in the mid to upper 70s. Severe storms are possible tomorrow west of Alabama, with the higher probabilities over East Oklahoma.

LATE WEEK COLD FRONT: Clouds increase Thursday ahead of a Polar cold front, and showers will move through the state Thursday night. The latest GFS suggests the main window for showers will come from 5:00 p.m. Thursday through 5:00 a.m. Friday. No severe weather expected, and rain amounts should be generally under 1/2 inch.

Friday will be much colder with a high only in the low 50s; communities north of Birmingham could hold in the 40s all day with a very chilly north wind of 12-22 mph. The sky will be partly sunny during the day.

LATE SEASON FREEZE POTENTIAL: The low early Saturday will be in the 29-32 degree range, and Sunday morning could be just as cold. Saturday for now looks mostly dry, although a few morning snow flurries are possible over the northwest corner of the state around Muscle Shoals. The high Saturday will be in the 50-55 degree range with intervals of sunshine.

A warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a high in the low 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday look dry, but a vigorous weather system will have the potential to bring heavy rain and strong storms to Alabama Wednesday, and possibly into Thursday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Concord Elementary School in Jefferson County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…