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Showers/Storms, Then Colder

| 6:29 am October 2, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

BIG CHANGES AHEAD: Birmingham’s official high yesterday was 88 degrees, eight degrees above the average high of 80 for October 1. Today’s weather will be very warm again with upper 80s likely, but a cold front will bring some very significant weather changes over the next 48 hours.

A few scattered showers and storms are possible this afternoon, especially west of I-65, as low level moisture returns. Scattered showers are possible tonight, but the most organized shower and thunderstorm activity will come well after midnight as the cold front to the west approaches.

TO THE WEST: There is a rather large “slight risk” of severe weather later today and tonight from the Texas Hill Country to near Chicago…

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Storms in this zone later today could produce some hail, strong winds, and maybe even an isolated tornado. But, the storms will weaken as they move into Alabama late tonight and early tomorrow.

There is certainly a chance of a few strong storms over Alabama tomorrow, especially over the northern third of the state with surface based CAPE values exceeding 1,500 j/kg in spots. However, shear values are low and wind fields are not especially strong, and there is no formal severe weather risk defined for our state by SPC. The bottom line is that organized severe weather is not expected around here.

TIMING: The main window for the organized showers and storms will come from about 3:00 a.m. until 3:00 p.m. tomorrow. A pretty good chance the rain will over in time for the high football games tomorrow night.

COOL WEEKEND: Saturday will be a breezy and very cool day as the coolest air so far this season blows into Alabama with brisk north winds of 15-25 mph. We start the day down in the mid 40s early Saturday, and the high will be only in the mid 60s. The coldest morning should come early Sunday with most communities seeing a low between 38 and 43 degrees. Then, Sunday afternoon we climb into the 70s. Look for a cobalt blue sky both days.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Scattered showers are possible for high school football games across North/Central Alabama tonight with temperatures in the 70s. Showers and storms tomorrow should end by kickoff time for most stadiums across North and Central Alabama, the evening will be breezy and much cooler with temperatures falling through the 60s, reaching the 50s by the fourth quarter at many stadiums. You will need a light jacket or sweater.

Saturday, Alabama travels to Ole Miss for a game that kicks off at 2:30 in Oxford. The weather could not be better. Total sunshine, about 68 degrees at kickoff with low humidity and a pleasant north breeze. Temperatures will fall to near 60 degrees by the final whistle.

Auburn hosts LSU Saturday evening (6:00p kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Again, a perfect night for football. A clear sky; 60 degrees at kickoff, with low 50s by the second half. Zero chance of rain. A jacket will be in order.

UAB plays at Western Kentucky Saturday evening (6:00p kickoff)… it will be a clear, cool night in Bowling Green with 55 degrees at kickoff, then about 45 degrees by the fourth quarter.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Partly sunny and warm today along the coast with some risk of a shower late this afternoon; a better chance of showers and storms tomorrow from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Then, a glorious weekend with sunny days and fair nights; highs will be in the 70s Saturday and Sunday with a cloudless sky.

TROPICS: All remains quiet across the Atlantic basin and tropical storm formation is not expected anytime soon.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I will be doing a weather program today at Good Hope Elementary School in Cullman County… and this evening I will be live on ABC 33/40 from Marvel Universe LIVE! at the BJCC Arena in downtown Birmingham. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Cold Front Arrives Friday

| 2:36 pm October 1, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WARM OCTOBER FIRST: Temperatures are generally in the mid to upper 80s across the great state of Alabama this afternoon with a good supply of sunshine through scattered clouds. No rain on radar, and our weather stays dry tonight.

Tomorrow will be another very warm day, with a high in the upper 80s along with a mix of sun and clouds. Moisture levels will begin to rise, however, and a few scattered showers or storms will break out by mid to late afternoon, especially west of I-65.

TO THE WEST: There is a large “slight risk” of severe weather as defined by the Storm Prediction Center, roughly from the Texas Hill Country to near Chicago. These storms will enter Northwest Alabama late tomorrow night, mostly after midnight, but they should be weakening as they move into our state.

FRIDAY FRONT: We will forecast a good chance of showers and storms statewide Friday as the cold front moves through the state. Sure looks like average rain amounts will be around 1/2 inch, with potential for up to one inch in a few spots where heavier storms develop. Surface based CAPE values will exceed 1,500 j/kg in spots, so a few strong storms are certainly possible, but there is little shear, and SPC does not have any severe weather outlook in place as organized severe storms are not expected.

The rain should end from northwest to southeast late in the day Friday.

CHILL IN THE AIR THIS WEEKEND: We drop into the 40s early Saturday morning as the coolest air so far this season blows into the state; Saturday will be breezy and cool with a cobalt blue sky and a high in the 60s. A north breeze of 10-20 mph will make it feel cooler. Sunday morning’s lows should be in the 39-44 degree range for most communities, and the day Sunday will remain sunny. The high Sunday afternoon will be in the 70s, with low humidity. Just a picture perfect fall weekend with very crisp mornings.

The dry weather will continue through much of next week with only a slow warming trend.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: Scattered showers are possible for high school football games across North/Central Alabama tomorrow evening with temperatures in the 70s; highest risk of a shower will be over the northwest part of the state. Showers and storms Friday should end by kickoff time Friday evening for most stadiums across North and Central Alabama, but we can’t totally rule out the risk of a stray shower in a few venues during the first half; temperatures will fall into the 60s during the games Friday night… maybe even 50s by the second half. Some will need a jacket.

Saturday, Alabama travels to Ole Miss for a game that kicks off at 2:30 in Oxford. The weather could not be better. Total sunshine, about 70 degrees at kickoff with low humidity and a pleasant north breeze. Temperatures will fall into the low to mid 60s by the final whistle.

Auburn hosts LSU Saturday evening (6:00p kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Again, a perfect night for football. A clear sky; 60 degrees at kickoff, with 50s by the second half. Zero chance of rain.

UAB plays at Western Kentucky Saturday evening (6:00p kickoff)… it will be a clear, cool night in Bowling Green with 56 degrees at kickoff, then about 48 degrees by the fourth quarter. You will need a jacket.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Partly sunny and warm tomorrow from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with highs in the 80s. An afternoon shower is possible tomorrow in a few spots, followed by a better coverage of showers and storms Friday. The weekend will be beautiful with sunshine in full supply and a high in the 70s. Most of next week looks rain-free on the coast.

VOODOO LAND: The GFS is advertising another cold front in here around October 12-13 followed by another good push of chilly air October 14-15. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Big Cool Down This Weekend

| 6:32 am October 1, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WARM DAY AS OCTOBER BEGINS: We project a high in the upper 80s today, well above our average high of 80 for the first of October (based on data for Birmingham). The sky will be partly to mostly sunny, and there is no significant chance of rain. Tomorrow will be just a warm, with a high between 87 and 90 degrees. The day tomorrow will feature a mix of sun and clouds, and with low level moisture levels rising, an afternoon shower or storm is possible, especially over Northwest Alabama.

TO THE WEST: There is a large “slight risk” of severe weather from the Texas Hill Country to near Chicago tomorrow ahead of a deep upper trough and cold front…

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FRIDAY FRONT: An organized band of showers and storms will move into Alabama after midnight tomorrow night ahead of the cold front, but the good news is that organized severe weather is not expected in our state Friday, and SPC does not have any risk for us in their “day three” convective outlook.

The main window for showers and storms will come from roughly 3:00 a.m. until 3:00 p.m. Friday. Surface based CAPE values (instability) will rise to well over 1,000 j/kg, so a few strong storms are certainly possible, and rain amounts of 1/2 to 3/4″ can be expected. A few spots could see totals over one inch where heavier storms form.

A CHILL IN THE AIR THIS WEEKEND: The coolest air so far this season blows into Alabama Saturday with a brisk north wind. Guidance continues to come in cooler; we won’t get past the mid 60s Saturday afternoon with a north wind of 10-20 mph, and Sunday morning we are now projecting lows in the 39-44 degree range for most of North/Central Alabama. You will need to dig out those jackets for the first time in a while. The air will be very dry, and the sky will be cobalt blue Saturday and Sunday.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Scattered showers are possible for high school football games across North/Central Alabama tomorrow evening with temperatures in the 70s; highest risk of a shower will be over the northwest part of the state. Showers and storms Friday should end by kickoff time Friday evening for most stadiums across North and Central Alabama; temperatures will fall into the 60s during the games Friday night… maybe even 50s by the second half. Some will need a jacket.

Saturday, Alabama travels to Ole Miss for a game that kicks off at 2:30 in Oxford. The weather could not be better. Total sunshine, about 70 degrees at kickoff with low humidity and a pleasant north breeze. Temperatures will fall into the low to mid 60s by the final whistle.

Auburn hosts LSU Saturday evening (6:00p kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Again, a perfect night for football. A clear sky; 60 degrees at kickoff, with 50s by the second half. Zero chance of rain.

UAB plays at Western Kentucky Saturday evening (6:00p kickoff)… it will be a clear, cool night in Bowling Green with 56 degrees at kickoff, then about 48 degrees by the fourth quarter. You will need a jacket.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny and warm tomorrow from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with highs in the 80s. An afternoon shower is possible tomorrow, followed by a better coverage of showers and storms Friday. The weekend will be beautiful with sunshine in full supply and a high in the 70s.

NEXT WEEK: Alabama’s weather looks dry and pleasant for much of the week; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: All is quiet across the Atlantic basin and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking this morning at the University of Montevallo; look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Big Cool-Down This Weekend

| 3:46 pm September 30, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WARM THROUGH MID-WEEK: It is a mostly sunny and warm afternoon across the great state of Alabama, with temperatures mostly in the low to mid 80s. Tomorrow will be dry and even warmer, with a partly sunny sky and a high in the upper 80s, well above the average high of 80 for October 1 (in Birmingham).

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Thursday will be another very warm day with upper 80s along with a mix of sun and clouds, but moisture levels will rise, and a few scattered showers or storms could break out during the afternoon and evening hours. Then, late Thursday night into the daytime hours Friday, a band of organized showers and storms will roll through Alabama ahead of a sharp cold front.

Looks like the main window for showers and storms ahead of the front will come from about 3:00 a.m. until 3:00 p.m. Friday. There will be sufficient instability (over 1,000 j/kg CAPE) for a few strong storms, but organized severe weather is not likely with the surface low and main upper support well to the north. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 3/4 inch are likely over the northern half of the state, with isolated totals over one inch.

COOL WEEKEND: The 12Z model runs have come in cooler for the weekend. Saturday will feature a cobalt blue sky and maximum sunshine along with a stiff north breeze; many communities from Birmingham north won’t make it out of the 60s. Sunday will be another bright sunny day with a high in the 70s. Many North/Central Alabama communities will visit the 40s early Saturday and Sunday morning for the first time this season.

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A secondary cold front moves through Monday, and I guess we might consider a small risk of a shower with that feature, but the air will be very dry, and signifiant rain doesn’t look likely. Then, pleasant really fall weather is the story Tuesday through Thursday with only a slow warming trend. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Showers are possible for high school football games across North/Central Alabama Thursday evening with temperatures in the 70s. Showers and storms Friday should end by kickoff time Friday evening for most stadiums across North and Central Alabama; temperatures will fall into the 60s during the games Friday night.

Saturday, Alabama travels to Ole Miss for a game that kicks off at 2:30 in Oxford. The weather could not be better. Total sunshine, about 72 degrees at kickoff with low humidity and a pleasant north breeze. Temperatures will fall into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

Auburn hosts LSU Saturday evening (6:00p kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Again, a perfect night for football. A clear sky; 63 degrees at kickoff, with 50s by the fourth quarter. Zero chance of rain.

UAB plays at Western Kentucky Saturday evening (6:00p kickoff)… it will be a clear, cool night in Bowling Green with 58 degrees at kickoff, then about 50 degrees by the fourth quarter. You will need a light jacket.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny and warm tomorrow from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with highs in the 80s. An afternoon shower is possible Thursday, followed by a better coverage of showers and storms Friday. The weekend will be beautiful with sunshine in full supply and a high around 80 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a wonderful time today visiting with the students at University Place Elementary School in Tuscaloosa… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Warm Through Mid-Week

| 6:36 am September 30, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WARM AFTERNOONS: Alabama’s weather will be warm and dry through tomorrow with mostly sunny warm afternoons; we expect a high in the mid 80s, and some spots will see upper 80s tomorrow, well above our average high of 80 degrees (Birmingham data) for October 1.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Moisture levels begin to rise on Thursday. The weather stays very warm, with a high in the mid to upper 80s, and we will introduce the risk of scattered showers by Thursday afternoon. But, the better chance of showers and storms will come Friday as a cold front moves into our state. We project rain amounts of 1/2 to 3/4 inch for most communities, and we can’t rule out a strong storm or two.

West of Alabama, SPC has defined the standard “slight risk” of severe weather for much of Arkansas and Missouri, ahead of the front, for Thursday, but there is no formal severe weather risk Friday. The primary dynamic support will be north of our state, which should prevent organized severe weather from being an issue, but there is clearly the chance of strong storms with surface based CAPE values expected exceed 1,000 j/kg.

There is a decent chance the rain will end by the time high school football games begin Friday night, especially from Birmingham north and west.

COOL WEEKEND: The coolest air so far this season will blow into Alabama Friday night. The weekend will feature a brilliantly sunny sky Saturday and Sunday; highs in the 70s, and morning lows between 45 and 52 degrees. You might even need a light jacket if you will be out early in the day. Picture perfect fall weather.

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The dry weather continues into early next week with just a slow warming trend. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Showers are possible for high school football games across North/Central Alabama Thursday evening with temperatures in the 70s. Showers and storms Friday should end by kickoff time Friday evening from Birmingham north and west, but some rain could linger east and south of Birmingham for the first half of some of the games. Temperatures Friday evening will fall into the 60s with a fresh north breeze developing.

Saturday, Alabama travels to Ole Miss for a game that kicks off at 2:30 in Oxford. The weather could not be better. Total sunshine, about 74 degrees at kickoff with low humidity and a pleasant north breeze. Temperatures will fall into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

Auburn hosts LSU Saturday evening (6:00p kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Again, a perfect night for football. A clear sky; 68 degrees at kickoff, with potential for upper 50s by the fourth quarter. Zero chance of rain.

UAB plays at Western Kentucky Saturday evening (6:00p kickoff)… it will be a clear, cool night in Bowling Green with 62 degrees at kickoff, and low 50s by the fourth quarter. You will need a light jacket.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny and warm today and tomorrow from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with highs in the 80s. An afternoon shower is possible Thursday, followed by a better coverage of showers and storms Friday. The weekend will be beautiful with sunshine in full supply and a high around 80 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program this morning at University Place Elementary School in Tuscaloosa… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Cold Front Arrives Friday

| 3:31 pm September 29, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A few showers are over Central Alabama this afternoon… from near Thomaston to Orrville to Billingsley to Alexander City… they are moving southeast…

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There is a wide spread of temperatures, with 80s over West Alabama, and mostly 70s east of I-65.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: Alabama’s weather will be warm and dry on these two days; with a good supply of sunshine we project highs in the mid 80s. Some West Alabama communities will see upper 80s on Wednesday, the first day of October, when the average high is 80 degrees (in Birmingham).

COLD FRONT LATE THIS WEEK: Low level moisture begins to return Thursday, and a few scattered afternoon showers are possible… but showers and storms are more likely late Thursday night and during the day Friday ahead of a well defined cold front. Seems like this has potential to bring much of the state around 1/2 inch of rain, with a few isolated amounts over one inch.

Thunderstorms are possible Friday ahead of the front, but parameters don’t seem to favor any signifiant severe weather risk across the Deep South. A decent chance the rain ends by the time high school football games begin Friday night.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Could not be any better. A cool, dry airmass rolls into the state, and both days will feature sunshine in full supply with highs in the 70s, and lows well down in the 50s. Many communities across North/Central Alabama could very well see upper 40s at daybreak Sunday.

Dry weather continues into early next week with just a slow day to day warming trend. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: A low pressure center is near Bermuda, in the Atlantic, and is moving northeast. Development is not expected there, and the rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny and warm weather is likely tomorrow and Wednesday from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with highs in the 80s. A few scattered showers and storms are possible Thursday, with showers and storms becoming more numerous Friday. Then, a picture perfect weekend is ahead on the coast with sunny days, fair nights, and highs around 80 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing the 6th graders today at Clanton Middle School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Cold Front Due In Here Late This Week

| 6:21 am September 29, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUNDAY RAIN WAS A NO SHOW: On my last forecast shift Friday, it looked like a decent part of Alabama, especially south and east of Birmingham, would have a beneficial rain event yesterday and last night. Needless to say, it never happened. The high precipitable water values advertised by models never arrived, and dynamic support was weak and disorganized.

We will still mention the risk of a few showers today; we have light rain falling this morning in scattered pockets across the state. Some of the heaviest rain at daybreak was just north of Montgomery. The sun should break out later today, and the high will be close to 80 degrees.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: These two days will be warm and dry with a good supply of sunshine. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 80s; some West Alabama communities might even see upper 80s Wednesday… it won’t feel like the first day of October.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: A well defined cold front with good upper support will swing through the state at the end of the week. A few showers could break out Thursday afternoon or Thursday night, but it looks like the rain chance of showers and storms will come during the day Friday. There will be a limited degree of instability, so some thunder is possible, but for now severe weather does not look likely. Rain amounts of around 1/2 inch can be expected, with totals up to one inch possible where heavier storms develop along the front. Based on global model output, there is a decent chance most of the rain will end by the time high school football games begin Friday night, but no guarantee.

REFRESHING WEEKEND: A nice cool, dry airmass will roll into Alabama following the front Friday night, and will set the stage for a very nice weekend. Sunny days, fair nights… highs in the 70s, and lows in the 50s. Some of the cooler spots could visit the 40s early Sunday morning across North/Central Alabama.

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Dry weather continues into early next week with a slow warming trend. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICS: A weak disturbance is well east of the U.S. in the Atlantic, and conditions do not favor development. Bottom line is that tropical storm formation is not expected this week in the Atlantic basin.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A few showers and storms today on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, but tomorrow and Wednesday should feature a good supply of sunshine with highs in the 80s. Showers and storms return late in the week Thursday night and Friday, but the weekend ahead looks delightful with ample sunshine both days and a high around 80 degrees with low humidity.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Clanton Middle School in Chilton County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Rain Before The Weekend Is Over

| 3:32 pm September 26, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PLEASANT AFTERNOON: We have a mix of sun and clouds across Alabama this afternoon with temperatures around 80 degrees; a few sprinkles are on radar from near Lake Martin over to Opelika and Lafayette, but most of the state is dry.

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OUR WEEKEND: The daytime hours tomorrow still look rain-free with some sun at times and a high in the 79-83 degrees range. Then, after midnight tomorrow night, a big mass of rain should move into Alabama thanks to a short wave moving out of Texas, which spins up a broad surface low near the Gulf Coast. Sunday looks like a wet day statewide; precipitable water values are expected to exceed two inches, meaning the rain could be heavy in spots. We project average rain amounts of one inch, but some communities, especially south and east of Birmingham, could see two inches or even more.

Thunderstorms are possible Sunday, but severe weather is not expected. We won’t get out of the 70s because of clouds and rain.

NEXT WEEK: The 12Z model set hints the rain should end very early Monday, with the sky becoming partly sunny by Monday afternoon. Then, the weather will be warm and dry Tuesday through Thursday with a good supply of sunshine each day with highs up in the mid 80s.

A cold front will bring a chance of showers one week from today (Friday October 3), then cooler and drier air moves in for the following weekend (October 4-5). See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Delightful conditions for high school games tonight; the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 70s during the games, reaching the upper 60s by the final whistle. There is no chance of rain.

Auburn hosts Louisiana Tech Saturday (3:00p CT kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium… the sky will be partly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 83 degrees, dropping back into the 70s by the fourth quarter.

UAB will host Florida International Saturday at 2:30p CT at Legion Field in Birmingham… partly sunny with about 84 degrees at kickoff, and upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: All remains quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend across the Atlantic basin.

AT THE BEACH: Showers and storms will begin to form tomorrow on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, and Sunday looks wet with showers and storms likely. Then, much of next week will be dry with sunny days and fair nights. Highs will be in the 70s over the weekend due to clouds and showers, but then back in the 80s next week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Look for the kids from Ashland Elementary in Clay County on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News… my next Weather Xtreme video will be produced early Monday morning by 7:00 a.m… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!