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Warm Weekend Ahead

| 3:44 pm September 19, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

RADAR CHECK: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are in progress this afternoon across Alabama… drifting slowly to the southwest.

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These will fade quickly after the sun set this evening.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be a mostly sunny day to kick off the weekend with a high in the mid 80s for most communities. The day Sunday will be dry and very warm with a high in the upper 80s; some West Alabama towns could touch 90 degrees Sunday afternoon. Then, a cold front will bring the risk of a few scattered showers Sunday night. Moisture will be limited, and the showers will diminish as they move south. Rain amounts will be light and spotty, and showers should be gone by daybreak Monday.

NEXT WEEK: A nice surge of dry, continental air will move into the state Monday, setting up a generally rain-free week with seasonal temperatures. Highs will be mostly in the low 80s, lows in the upper 50s and low 60s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school football games tonight across Alabama, most stadiums will be dry, but a shower is possible in scattered spots during the first half of the games. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa tomorrow afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 87 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle. It will feel pretty hot if you are sitting in the sun.

TROPICS: Edouard has become post-tropical in the middle of the Atlantic this afternoon far from land, and the rest of the Atlantic is pretty quiet.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend and most of the week with only isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s, sea water temperatures also in the mid 80s. A nice, calm pattern.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the 6th graders at Brookwood Forest Elementary School in Mountain Brook; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Warm Weekend Ahead; Isolated Showers Today

| 6:16 am September 19, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AT DAYBREAK: Showers/storms that formed over far West Alabama last night dissipated after midnight, and the radar is quiet this morning. For most of the state, today will be a partly sunny and warm day with a high in the mid to upper 80s. A few isolated showers are possible afternoon and early tonight, but many communities will remain dry.

For those along the Georgia border, clouds could be a little thicker today, with the risk of a shower a little higher due to the cold air damming effect. A cold high is centered over New England, and that colder air will drain down the slopes of the Appalachian Mountains. This could impact far East Alabama, but it is not the classic “wedge” setup.

OUR WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be mostly sunny and warm with a high in the mid 80s. Then, the day Sunday looks mostly warm and dry as well, but a cold front should push a band of showers into North Alabama late in the day Sunday and Sunday night. Moisture will be limited, so this won’t be a big rain event, but some places could see a shower as the weekend wraps up. Sunday will be a bit more like summer with a high in the upper 80s before the front arrives.

NEXT WEEK: Cooler and drier air spreads into Alabama Monday, and much of the week is looking dry and pleasant. Highs mostly in the low 80s, lows in the 50s and low 60s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school football games tonight across Alabama, most stadiums will be dry, but we will mention a small risk of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa tomorrow afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 87 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle. It will feel pretty hot if you are sitting in the sun.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Edouard will become post-tropical today over the Atlantic west of the Azores, and it remains far from land. A new wave has come off the coast of Africa, but if anything forms there we have no worries since that one should turn north into the open Atlantic. A low should form off the U.S. East Coast this weekend, but it will stay offshore.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend and most of the week with only isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s, sea water temperatures also in the mid 80s. A nice, calm pattern.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program today at Brookwood Forest Elementary School in Mountain Brook… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Showers Remain Isolated

| 3:31 pm September 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A lone storm was over Cullman County near Good Hope at 3:20 this afternoon, and a cluster of strong storms was about to move into Muscle Shoals. Otherwise, it is a dry day across Alabama with filtered sunshine through high clouds and temperatures mostly in the 80s.

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We will maintain the risk of a few isolated showers or storms this evening with the northwest flow pattern over Alabama.

TOMORROW: For a good part of Alabama, it will be a partly sunny day with a high in the mid 80s. However, communities near the Georgia border could very well have a cloudy and cooler day with a high in the 70s, and maybe even a touch of light rain or drizzle thanks to a cold air damming (CAD) pattern that will push clouds in from the east. The best chance of seeing a shower tomorrow will be along and east of U.S. 431.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be a mostly sunny and warm day with a high in the mid 80s. Sunday stays warm and dry with a high in the 80s, but an approaching cold front could trigger a few widely spaced showers Sunday night and Monday morning. It sure doesn’t look like a big rain event, and many Alabama cities will see no rain at all.

Drier and cooler air moves into Alabama Tuesday and Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tonight’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

For the high school football games tonight and tomorrow night across Alabama, most stadiums will be dry, but we will mention a small risk of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is pretty quiet, although Hurricane Edouard is still hanging around with top winds of 80 mph. This system is moving east over the Central Atlantic and will remain far from land. A wave near the Cape Verde Islands in the far East Atlantic is disorganized. We do note computer models develop a surface low east of Florida over the next 36 hours; this might try and become better organized as it moves northeast, off the East Coast of the U.S.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect mostly sunny days, fair nights from Panama City over to Gulf Shores through Sunday with only isolated showers. Highs in the mid to upper 80s; sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed speaking today at Alabama Power’s headquarters in downtown Birmingham… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Just A Few Isolated Showers Today

| 6:27 am September 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: The high resolution NAM model yesterday hinted at showers over North Alabama early this morning, and sure enough we have a few on radar this morning; they are moving southeast.

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We will mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers today, but the most widespread rain should be west of the state over Mississippi/Louisiana/Arkansas, closer to a wave in the northwest flow aloft across the Mid-South. The chance of any one spot seeing a shower today is about one in five across north and central Alabama… otherwise the day will feature a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the mid 80s.

TOMORROW: Most of the state will have a partly sunny and warm day, but for those of you near the Georgia border, a cold air damming (CAD) pattern could bring clouds in for much of the day from the east, and maybe even a shower or two. The best chance of a shower will be near and east of U.S. 431, and even there they will be widely spaced. Tomorrow’s high will be in the 80s for most of the state, but communities near the Georgia border would hold in the 70s through the day.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be a mostly sunny day with a high in the mid 80s; the weather stays dry during the day Sunday, but we will introduce the chance of a shower Sunday night ahead of a cold front approaching from the north.

We will maintain the threat of a shower Monday as the front passes down through the state, then cooler and drier air arrives for Tuesday and Wednesday; it could be the coolest air we have seen so far this fall with highs in the 78-81 degree range, and lows in the 50s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tonight’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

For the high school football games tonight and tomorrow night across Alabama, most stadiums will be dry, but we will mention a slight risk of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is moving east through the open Atlantic with winds of 85 mph… it will weaken and dissipate early next week far from land. A few wave has emerged off the coast of Africa, but shows little organization.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect mostly sunny days and fair nights on the Gulf Coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only isolated showers; highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a severe weather safety program this morning at Alabama Power in downtown Birmingham… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

A Mostly Calm Weather Pattern

| 3:34 pm September 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: As expected, there are no showers anywhere in Alabama at mid-afternoon; the sky is partly to mostly sunny, with temperatures generally in the 80s. Muscle Shoals and Haleyville are at 78 degrees at 2:00 p.m. Dew points are low, and the air is dry. Many North Alabama communities will visit the upper 50s early tomorrow morning.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: While it looks like generally calm and dry weather continues, there are a couple of potential issues. One wave coming down in the northwest flow aloft, now producing showers and storms over Missouri and northern Arkansas, and the high resolution NAM brings down a batch of showers into North Alabama very early tomorrow morning, then moving southward through the state during the day. But, that model is an outlier, and with a very dry airmass in place I don’t think we see anything significant. I might insert a slight risk of a shower for North Alabama tomorrow due to this feature, but for now it doesn’t look like a big weather maker.

Then, on Friday, a cold air damming pattern (the wedge) sets up over Georgia and the Carolinas, and it looks like low clouds will push into far East Alabama Friday morning. Some communities near the Georgia border might even see a sprinkle or two. The high along and east of U.S. 431 will be in the 70s, but for the rest of the state Friday should be a partly sunny day with a high in the mid 80s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks nice with ample sunshine Saturday and Sunday with highs holding in the 80s. A few showers could arrive Sunday night ahead of cold front. That front will bring the risk of widely scattered showers Monday, but it looks like moisture will be very limited, and it won’t be a major rain event. Cooler and drier air follows the front for the middle of next week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the latest maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tomorrow night’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

Clear weather for the high school football games in Alabama tomorrow and Friday night; temperatures will be in the upper 70s at kickoff, falling into the low 70s by the fourth quarter. No threat of rain or lightning delays this week.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is packing sustained winds of 90 mph in the Atlantic; it is moving northeast and will remain far from land. A new tropical wave is moving off the coast of Africa, but any development will be slow.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights through Sunday from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only isolated showers over storms; highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing everyone at ALAGASCO today in Gadsden… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Dry Pattern Setting Up For Alabama

| 6:27 am September 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

NO RAIN FOR A WHILE: A drier airmass pushed into Alabama last night, and it looks like a pretty benign weather pattern ahead for the state through the weekend. Mostly sunny warm days, lower humidity, and clear cool nights. Afternoon highs will be in the 80s; our coolest morning will come early tomorrow when most communities will enjoy a low between 58 and 63 degrees.

The only potential issue comes Friday with a cold air damming pattern sets up east of the state; we will have to keep an eye on clouds and cooler temperatures over Georgia and the Carolinas; that could creep into extreme East Alabama, but for now we will make the assumption the wedge won’t impact our state.

LATE IN THE WEEKEND: A cold front will approach, and we will mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers Sunday night as the weekend wraps up, but moisture looks very limited and it sure won’t be a big rain event. We will hang on to the risk of isolated showers Monday, and then a cooler, drier airmass arrives Monday night, setting up some very pleasant fall weather for the middle of next week with highs around 80 and lows in the 50s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

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DRY TIME OF THE YEAR: September-October is our driest two month period of the year in Alabama based on climatological averages; the average rain for September is 4.05″, with an average of just 3.23″ in October (for Birmingham). So long dry periods like this are fairly common this time of the year.

We should mention Birmingham’s rain total for the year is 34.50″, 4.66″ below average.

THURSDAY NIGHT SPECIAL: Looks like we can remove any threat of rain from tomorrow night’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL: Clear weather for the high school football games in Alabama Thursday and Friday night; temperatures will be in the upper 70s at kickoff, falling into the low 70s by the fourth quarter. No threat of rain or lightning delays this week.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL THIS WEEKEND: Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is now weakening as it recurves into the open Atlantic… far from land. Top winds are down to 90 mph. Tropical Storm Odile in the northern Gulf of California has the potential to bring flooding rain to Arizona and New Mexico through tomorrow. And, Tropical Storm Polo is in the East Pacific off the Mexican coast, but this one looks like it will miss Cabo San Lucas to the west this weekend thankfully.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only isolated showers Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a severe weather safety program this morning at ALAGASCO in Gadsden… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Dry Days Ahead; Cooler Nights

| 3:47 pm September 16, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Most of the showers and storms in Alabama this afternoon are down over the southern half of the state… but within the last few minutes a few storms have fired up along a surface boundary over North Alabama. We will maintain the chance of an isolated shower or storm this evening, but the sky becomes clear late tonight as dry air takes over.We drop down into the mid 60s early tomorrow morning.

REST OF THE WEEK: Looks very nice, with ample sunshine tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday. Highs will be generally in the mid 80s; the coolest morning will come early Thursday with temperatures generally between 58 and 62 degrees. Low clouds and cold air damming over Georgia could try and creep into extreme East Alabama Friday, but for now it looks like the main impact will be east of Alabama.

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Auburn is off to Manhattan, Kansas, for a Thursday night showdown with the Kansas State Wildcats. Kickoff is at 6:30 CDT. The weather forecast for the game has only a slight chance of a passing shower, but it looks as though by game time it should only be partly cloudy with temps at or just below 80. By the end of the game, expect temps to be in the lower 70s. It should be breezy with winds ranging 10-15 mph out of the southeast.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be another dry day with a sunny sky and a high in the mid 80s. The latest GFS run keeps most of Alabama dry Sunday, although a cold front will be approaching by Sunday night. We will just mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers Sunday night or Monday morning with the front; at the moment it doesn’t look like a major rain producer. However, should some of the moisture from Tropical Storm Odile wrap ahead of the front, that could change. We will keep an eye on the situation.

The first few days of next week look dry and pleasant; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard achieved “major hurricane” status this morning as winds have reached 115 mph, making it a category three storm on the Saffir Simpson scale. It is in the middle of the Atlantic, and will recurve harmlessly over open water and is no threat to land.

Tropical Storm Odile will dissipate over the northern Gulf of California over the next 48 hours, but moisture will move up into Arizona and New Mexico, bringing a flash flood threat to the Southwest U.S.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Some very active weather today with this waterspout during the late morning hours near Navarre Beach (photo from Jack Burton)…

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Drier air reaches the coast tomorrow, and the weather will feature mostly sunny days and fair nights through the weekend from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only isolated showers. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and sea water temperatures remain in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing everyone today at the Harvest of Hope banquet to benefit Oak Mountain Missions… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

A Few Lingering Showers; Drier Air Tonight

| 6:18 am September 16, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PATCHY FOG TO START THE DAY: A moist airmass is in place across much of Alabama this morning, and fog formed overnight, especially where rain fell yesterday. Some light rain has also moved into Northwest Alabama…

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We will maintain the chance of some light rain, or a few showers today with most communities seeing a high in the mid 80s. We do expect a few intervals of sunshine later in the day.

Drier air arrives tonight, and that should set the stage for very nice weather for the rest of the week.

TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY: Expect mostly sunny days and fair pleasant nights; highs will be in the mid 80s on most days. The coolest morning will come early Thursday with upper 50s are possible as far south as Birmingham. Some of the cooler pockets over Northeast Alabama could see low to mid 50s.

We will keep an eye on a cold air damming (CAD) setup east of Alabama Friday; that might push some low clouds toward the Alabama/Georgia border, but for now we will keep a mostly sunny forecast statewide.

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Auburn will play a Thursday night special this week in Manhattan, Kansas against Kansas State (6:30p CT kickoff); we project a temperature of 77 degrees at kickoff with only a small risk (15-20 percent) of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall into the low 70s by the fourth quarter.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be a delightful day, with ample sunshine and a high in the mid 80s. Then, as the weekend wraps up, the 00Z GFS brings a cold front into the state Sunday night. This could push a showers into our state late Sunday afternoon or Sunday night… at the moment it doesn’t look like a big rain event, but we will have to keep an eye on the moisture from Tropical Storm Odile, now over Baja California. If by chance some of that gets ahead of the surface front, it might bring more than that we are seeing on models now.

The front should be south of here by midday Monday, and the first half of next week looks dry and pleasant. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICAL WEATHER: Hurricane Edouard in the Central Atlantic is packing sustained winds of 110 mph, but it will recurve into the open Atlantic far from land. And, Odile was downgraded to a tropical storm over the Baja California peninsula last night as it moved northward. It will ultimately dissipate, but moisture from this will bring heavy rain and a significant flooding threat to parts of Arizona and New Mexico in coming days.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect a mix of sun and clouds today on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with scattered showers and storms; then mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through the weekend with only very isolated showers. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 87 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I will be the emcee today at the annual Harvest of Hope banquet to benefit Oak Mountain Missions… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!