Author Archive: James Spann

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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Coolest Air So Far This Fall Arrives Tonight

| September 28, 2016 @ 3:21 pm

LONG DRY SPELL: Today is the 10th consecutive day with no rain for Birmingham (and most of North/Central Alabama), and unfortunately we see no real signifiant chance of rain around here for the next seven to ten days. And, remember October is typically the driest month of the year here. Lake Purdy is very low (photo below from Edward Burch of ABC 33/40), and the Birmingham Water Works announced a stage-one drought advisory yesterday… asking customers to “use water wisely and limit unnecessary usage.”

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COOLEST AIR SO FAR THIS SEASON: It arrives tonight. Tomorrow and Friday will be delightful with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. Highs drop into the mid 70s, with lows well down in the 50s. Cooler spots, like this morning, will hit the mid to upper 40s.

THE WEEKEND: Not much change. Lots of sunshine both days; the high Saturday will be in the upper 70s, followed by low 80s Sunday. Lows hold in the 50s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for Friday night’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this past Friday night). Some stadiums will see 50s by the fourth quarter, and a light jacket will be in order.

Alabama will host Kentucky Saturday evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe Saturday at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 76 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Still dry with mostly sunny days; highs will be in the 80s and lows in the upper 50s and low 60s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores with only isolated storms; highs will be in the 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

NEW TROPICAL STORM: A good chance Matthew, now in the vicinity of the Windward Islands, becomes a hurricane within the next 48 hours as it moves through the Caribbean. Just about all model guidance still suggests a sharp turn to the north this weekend, and the official NHC track does the same.

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The chance of Matthew getting into the Gulf of Mexico is not zero, but very low based on the projected upper air pattern, and looking at analogs. One interesting analog is Hurricane Hazel from 1954, which also made that sharp right turn in the Caribbean. It would go to make landfall in the Carolinas, but it remains to be seen if Matthew impacts the U.S. East Coast. But, everyone from Key West to Cape Cod will need to monitor the system closely over the next 5 to 10 days. See the Weather Xtreme video for more graphics and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

A Refreshing Change

| September 28, 2016 @ 5:50 am

COOL SEPTEMBER MORNING: Check out these temperatures across North Alabama just before sunrise…

Meridianville 46
Decatur 47
Cullman 48
Scottsboro 48
Haleyville 48
Muscle Shoals 48
Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 49
Fort Payne 52
Concord 55
Coker 55

Expect a sunny sky today with a high in the 80s again this afternoon. A reinforcing shot of cool blows in here tonight, and highs will drop into the mid 70s tomorrow and Friday despite sunshine in full supply. Morning lows will be in the 50s, with 40s for colder spots.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Delightful autumn weather continues with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. The high Saturday will be in the upper 70s, followed by low 80s Sunday. Morning lows hold in the cool 50s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for Friday night’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this past Friday night). Some stadiums will see 50s by the fourth quarter, and a light jacket will be in order.

Alabama will host Kentucky Saturday evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe Saturday at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 76 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: It will be warmer, and dry. Lots of sun each day with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s.

DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE: Yesterday The Birmingham Water Works announced a stage-one drought advisory and asked customers to “use water wisely and limit unnecessary usage.”

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Needless to say, with no rain expected over the next seven days there won’t be any improvement in the situation. And, keep in mind October is normally our driest month of the year. We note the rain deficiency for the year in Anniston is up to 11.07″.

AT THE BEACH: Just a few widely scattered storms today, otherwise mostly sunny days and fair nights will continue through the weekend with highs in the 80s from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

BARBER VINTAGE MOTORCYCLE FESTIVAL: This event runs from Friday October 7 through Sunday October 9 at the Barber Motorsports Park. No real skill in a specific forecast this far out, but October is our driest month of the year, and for now we see nothing to suggest any big rain event on these three days. Get ticket information right here.

TROPICS: The wave approaching the Windward Islands (Invest 97L) is still forecast to become Tropical Storm Matthew in coming days as it moves into the Caribbean. Guidance is still suggesting this will take a hard right turn, with a movement up through the channel between Cuba and Haiti this weekend. This will keep it out of the Gulf of Mexico if it verifies, but understand until the system gets a defined low level circulation, model guidance will be subject to significant change.

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We note that there is potential for “Matthew” to become a major hurricane, so we will need to keep a close eye on it.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have stops today at Mount Laurel Elementary in Shelby County, and the Alabama Sports Prep Academy in Calera. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Pleasant Days; Cool Nights

| September 27, 2016 @ 3:35 pm

RADAR CHECK: As expected, we have a few isolated showers and storms south and east of Birmingham this afternoon… they won’t last long, and most places will be dry this evening…

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Temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s, and the sky is partly sunny. Tonight will be fair and very pleasant with temperatures in the 50s early tomorrow. Then, during the day tomorrow the sky will be mostly sunny, and once again we rise into the mid 80s.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: A secondary surge of cool air drops into the state. We project highs only in the mid 70s both days, with lows well down in the 50s. Sunny days, clear nights.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The latest GFS is printing a low of 52 degrees for Birmingham early Saturday morning; colder spots go down in the 40s. Then, the sky will stay sunny Saturday and Sunday with highs in the upper 70s Saturday, and close to 80 Sunday.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for Friday night’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this past Friday night). Some stadiums will see 50s by the fourth quarter, and a light jacket will be in order.

Alabama will host Kentucky Saturday evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe Saturday at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 76 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: We stay dry with mostly sunny days and fair nights; highs in the 80s; lows around 60. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Just a few widely scattered storms around tonight and tomorrow, otherwise mostly sunny days and fair nights through the weekend from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach. Highs in the 80s. Interesting to note there was a waterspout at Orange Beach late this morning… photo below from William Wesson…

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TROPICS: Invest 97L will move into the Caribbean tomorrow, and is expected to become Tropical Storm Matthew by the end of the week. Most tropical models turn the system northward, with a movement between Cuba and Haiti up toward the Bahamas. But, remember this system doesn’t even have a low level circulation now, and I would not trust any guidance until we get an organized cyclone for good initialization.

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There is a chance this becomes a significant hurricane, so it bears watching in coming days.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I had a great time today visiting with the kindergarten students at Coldwater Elementary in Calhoun County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

No More 90s For A While

| September 27, 2016 @ 5:55 am

COOL CHANGE: The long awaited change to cooler weather begins across Alabama today, thanks to a cold front that is passing through early this morning. We project a high today in the 81 to 85 degree range, so you won’t need a jacket or sweater for sure, but it will sure be better than the upper 90s we saw this past weekend.

We will still need to mention the risk of a few isolated showers this afternoon, mainly for areas east and south of Birmingham, but rain amounts, if any, will be light and spotty. Unfortunately prospects for beneficial rain look very small through the next ten days, and remember October is our driest month of the year (based on climatology). Here are rain deficiencies for the year for some Alabama cities…

Birmingham -4.60″
Montgomery -4.92″
Tuscaloosa -6.83″
Anniston -10.98″

TOMORROW: We begin the day with temperatures in the refreshing 50s… the sky will be mostly sunny, and the afternoon high will be in the low to mid 80s.

EVEN COOLER THURSDAY/FRIDAY: A secondary push of cool air arrives. Highs drop into the mid 70s on these two days despite sunshine in full supply. Coolest morning will come early Friday with low 50s likely; many North Alabama communities will dip into the 40s for the first time this fall season. Cool weather fans will love it.

THE WEEKEND: Fine fall weather continues with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. Highs 75-79, lows mostly in the 50s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for Friday night’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this past Friday night). Some stadiums will see 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama will host Kentucky Saturday evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe Saturday at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 76 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Not much change. Little if any chance of rain through the week with highs around 80, and lows around 60. A good supply of sun each day. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Just a few widely scattered storms around today, otherwise mostly sunny days and fair nights through the weekend from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach. Highs in the 80s; See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here..

TROPICS: “Invest 97L” is the one to watch; it is in the Atlantic, and will approach the Windward Islands tonight. A high chance this becomes Tropical Storm Matthew in coming days as it moves through the Caribbean. Just about all models suggest “Matthew” will make a hard right turn in the Caribbean, then moving northward through the channel between Cuba and Haiti; if this turn happens it won’t be a Gulf of Mexico problem. It remains to be seen if this will threaten the U.S. East Coast… way too early to anyone to know.

gefs_al97_2016092700

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have weather programs today at Coldwater Elementary School in Calhoun County, and at St. Martins Retirement Community in Birmingham. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Cold Front Pushing Through North Alabama

| September 26, 2016 @ 3:11 pm

RADAR CHECK: Showers and storms have formed ahead of the front over North Alabama this afternoon… they are dropping southward.

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Some of the storms are strong; a few trees and power lines were blown down over Walker County around 2:45pm. Showers and storms will continue to move southward tonight ahead of our long awaited cold front.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: Cooler air finally arrives. Highs drop into the 80-85 degree range, and we will be down in the 50s early Wednesday morning. Humidity values drop as well… days will be mostly sunny with fair nights.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: A secondary surge of cool air arrives; this will drop highs into the mid 70s both days. Looks like our coolest morning this week will come early Friday; the GFS model is printing a low of 52 at Birmingham… many North Alabama communities will drop into the 40s. The air remains dry, and the sky will feature a sunny sky both days.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Fine fall weather continues. Lots of sunshine Saturday and Sunday with highs between 77 and 81 degrees; lows will stay in the 50s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for Friday night’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this past Friday night). Some stadiums will see 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama will host Kentucky Saturday evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

We note the high in Tuscaloosa this past Saturday was 99, and if you use maximum temperature as a metric, it was the hottest day for a University of Alabama home game on record. The top three…

Kent State Sept 24, 2016 (Tuscaloosa) 99
Southern Miss Sept 8, 1990 (Birmingham) 98
Arkansas Sept 20, 1997 (Tuscaloosa) 96

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe Saturday at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 76 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: The first part of the week looks dry and pleasant; highs around 80, lows around 60. And again, unfortunately, no sign of beneficial rain through the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

kbhm_2016092612_min_max_16

AT THE BEACH: A few widely scattered storms will be around tonight and tomorrow, otherwise mostly sunny days and fair nights through the weekend. Highs mostly in the 80s… See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: “Invest 97L” should become Tropical Storm Matthew in coming days as it moves through the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean. Both primary global models (the GFS and the ECMWF) suggest Matthew will make a hard turn to the right, then moving across Hispaniola and out into the Atlantic. Please understand this tropical system hasn’t even formed, and there is little confidence in any specific solution at this phase of the game.

gefs_al97_2016092612

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
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I had a great time today visiting with the students at Cahawba Christian Academy in Centreville, and the 6th graders at Brookwood Forest Elementary in Mountain Brook; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Long Awaited Cold Front Getting Close

| September 26, 2016 @ 6:20 am

TIRED OF THE HEAT: After a weekend with highs in the upper 90s, most are ready for a fall cold front, and we have one this morning near the Mississippi River. Behind the front, temperatures are in the 30s, 40s, and 50s, and we will begin to enjoy the cooler air tomorrow and Wednesday.

WE NEED RAIN: Birmingham has gone seven consecutive days without a drop of rain; last measurable rain was on September 18 when the total was 0.32″. Our total for the month of September is only 0.68, and for the year the amount is 35.85″, a deficiency of 4.46″. Other places across North Alabama need almost 10 inches to get back to average amounts for the year.

Unfortunately, rain with the front later today and tonight will be rather light and spotty. Best chance of showers will come from about 3:00 p.m. until 3:00 a.m., and most places will see only 1/4″ or less. And, after tonight, the chance of rain is pretty much non existent for the next seven days.

COOL CHANGE: After some lingering early morning clouds, the sky becomes mostly sunny tomorrow with a high around 80 degrees with considerably lower humidity. You will really notice the difference early Wednesday morning, with with a low between 50 and 55 degrees for most places; colder pockets across North Alabama should reach the upper 40s. Wednesday will be sunny with a high in the low 80s.

THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: A reinforcing shot of cooler air arrives Thursday and Friday, pushing highs down into the mid 70s; lows will remain well down in the 50s, with upper 40s for colder pockets. And, the pleasant autumn weather will continue into the weekend. Expect sunny days, fair nights. No risk of rain through Sunday.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looking fantastic for Friday night’s high school games; a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 60s during the games (remember, they were falling through the 80s this past Friday night).

Alabama will host Kentucky Saturday evening at Bryant-Denny Stadium (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from 73 at kickoff, into the mid 60s by the fourth quarter.

We note the high in Tuscaloosa this past Saturday was 99, and if you use maximum temperature as a metric, it was the hottest day for a University of Alabama home game on record. The top three…

Kent State Sept 24, 2016 (Tuscaloosa) 99
Southern Miss Sept 8, 1990 (Birmingham) 98
Arkansas Sept 20, 1997 (Tuscaloosa) 96

Auburn hosts Louisiana-Monroe Saturday at Jordan Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature of 77 degrees…falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: The first part of the week looks dry and pleasant; highs around 80, lows around 60. And again, unfortunately, no sign of beneficial rain through the week See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

kbhm_2016092600_min_max_16

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the coast through the weekend with just a few widely scattered showers and storms around later today, tonight, and tomorrow. Highs in the 80s… See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: “Invest 97L” should become Tropical Storm Matthew later this week as it moves into the Caribbean; this is a lower latitude system, but all model guidance suggests this will turn northward before reaching the Gulf of Mexico. Still very early, however, and we will need to keep an eye on it.

gefs_al97_2016092600

The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have weather programs today at Cahawba Christian Academy in Centreville, and Brookwood Forest Elementary in Mountain Brook. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Hot Weekend; Much Cooler Next Week

| September 23, 2016 @ 3:25 pm

ONE LAST HOT WEEKEND: Summer fans will get one bonus weekend as this pattern won’t be changing. An upper ridge holds, meaning mostly sunny, hot days and fair nights through Sunday. Highs will remain generally in the 92-95 degree range, ten degrees above average for late September. Any afternoon showers will be very hard to find.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tonight, the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Alabama hosts Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium tomorrow morning (11:00a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 88 at kickoff, to 94 degrees by the final whistle. It will be very, very hot in the east stands where the sun will be out in full force (the west side will be more shaded).

Auburn will host LSU at Jordan-Hare Stadium tomorrow evening (5:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly clear with temperatures falling through the 80s.

NEXT WEEK: The big upper trough over the western states will beat the ridge down, and push a cold front in our direction. We will bring in the chance of showers Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning; unfortunately I don’t think this will be a widespread, or especially beneficial rain event as amounts should be under 1/4″ for many places. Monday’s high will drop into the mid 80s, and on Tuesday the high will be close to 80 degrees; the sky will be occasionally cloudy both days.

We expect beautiful early fall weather Wednesday through Friday as dry air settles in; sunny pleasant days, clear cool nights. The coolest morning should come early Wednesday with low to mid 50s likely… cooler pockets across North Alabama could reach the upper 40s. Highs will be in the 77-82 degree range.

See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, only isolated storms on the coast from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores through Sunday. Highs upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. Scattered showers will be a little more likely early next week… See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Karl will pass just east of Bermuda tonight, then moving northeast out to sea. TropicaL Storm Lisa is expected to dissipate this weekend in the eastern Atlantic far from land. A new wave just off the coast of Africa will have some potential for development in 3 to 5 days. Just something to watch for now.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today seeing the kids at the Pickens County Early Learning Center in Carrollton… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Big Weather Changes Next Week

| September 23, 2016 @ 6:21 am

STILL HOT THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Needless to say, this has been a hot September in Alabama. Based on data from the Birmingham Airport through yesterday, we have reached 90 degrees or higher on 19 of 22 days, with the peak of the heat coming on September 15 when the high was 98. The upper ridge will hold through the weekend, meaning highs between 91 and 95 degrees for most places through Sunday. The ridge also means generally dry weather, with any afternoon showers being few and far between… the chance of any one spot getting wet is so small that we won’t mention it in the forecast. Partly to mostly sunny days, fair nights.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tonight, the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Alabama hosts Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium tomorrow morning (11:00a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 88 at kickoff, to 94 degrees by the final whistle.

Auburn will host LSU at Jordan-Hare Stadium tomorrow evening (5:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly clear with temperatures falling through the 80s.

BIG CHANGES NEXT WEEK: The long awaited pattern change begins. A strong upper ridge, now over the western U.S., will approach, and drive a cold front in our direction. Clouds increase Monday, and showers are possible as the front gets closer. Unfortunately it won’t be a really big, widespread rain like we need, but at least we have a chance of getting a little rain in the bucket. Monday’s high will drop into the mid 80s.

A lingering shower is possible Tuesday, but cooler, drier air will begin to roll into the state, and it looks like we will enjoy some rather refreshing weather Wednesday through Friday with sunny pleasant days, clear cool nights, and low humidity. Highs will be in the 77-80 degree range, with lows down in the 50s. The GFS is suggesting we could see some 40s over the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama early Wednesday morning.

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See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only isolated storms through the weekend for the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through Sunday. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Karl will recurve in the Atlantic tonight, passing just east of Bermuda, and will head out to sea in the North Atlantic. And, to the east, Tropical Storm Lisa is expected to dissipate over the weekend far from land. A few wave coming off the coast of Africa has some potential for development in 3-5 days; just something to watch for now.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a program this morning at Carrollton in Pickens County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Heat Levels Fall Next Week

| September 22, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

RADAR CHECK: We actually have a few tiny, isolated showers across Central Alabama this afternoon; you can count the number of showers on one hand, and they have lasted only about 10-15 minutes. Most places are hot and dry with a partly to mostly sunny sky along with temperatures in the low to mid 90s.

TOMORROW THROUGH SUNDAY: No real change. Mostly sunny days, fair nights, hot afternoons, and little if any risk of showers. Highs will remain in the 90-95 degree range, with morning lows mostly in the upper 60s as the upper ridge holds.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tomorrow night, the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Alabama hosts Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium Saturday morning (11:00a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 88 at kickoff, to 93 degrees by the final whistle.

Auburn will host LSU at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday evening (5:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly clear with temperatures falling through the 80s.

NEXT WEEK: A deep upper trough over the western U.S. will get closer, driving a cold front our way. We will bring in a chance of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday as the front slowly slips into the state. The high Monday will drop into the low 80s, and the new (12Z) GFS run is printing a high of only 77 degrees for Birmingham on Tuesday. A lingering shower is possible Wednesday, but it looks like cooler and drier air will arrive Thursday and Friday. The GFS is showing a low of 56 degrees for Birmingham next Thursday morning (September 29).

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and a few widely scattered storms on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through the weekend. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: Tropical Depression Karl (looks like it is about to regain tropical storm strength), and Tropical Storm Lisa in the Atlantic will recurve, and are no threat to land. A new wave is coming off the coast of Africa, with some potential for slow development in 3-5 days. Nothing threatening the Gulf of Mexico anytime soon, however.

two_atl_5d0

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting the first graders at Tarrant Elementary, and the third graders at Erwin Intermediate School in Center Point… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Dry With Hot Afternoons Through Sunday

| September 22, 2016 @ 6:24 am

HELLO FALL: This morning at 9:21 CT the sun will be directly over the equator, and autumn “officially” begins for the northern hemisphere. We have approximately 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of darkness this time of the year.

Of course, there is no magic switch when it comes to weather, and the summer-like pattern won’t change through the weekend thanks to an upper ridge overhead and dry air. We will continue to forecast mostly sunny days with hot afternoons, and fair pleasant nights through Sunday… any afternoon showers will be confined to far South Alabama, and even there they should be few and far between. Afternoon highs will remain in the low to mid 90s, about 10 degrees above average for late September.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tomorrow night, the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 80s.

Alabama hosts Kent State at Bryant-Denny Stadium Saturday morning (11:00a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly to mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 88 at kickoff, to 93 degrees by the final whistle.

Auburn will host LSU at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday evening (5:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly clear with temperatures falling through the 80s.

CHANGES NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge is weakened by an approaching trough, and a cold front will creep closer to Alabama early in the week. This will mean an increase in clouds, a chance of showers, and lower daytime temperatures. Unfortunately, the latest GFS/ECMWF (global model) runs suggest the front won’t be able to push through Alabama, but with it stalling just west and north of here, it looks like there will be some change of badly needed showers each day through the week. And, because of the clouds and showers highs will drop into the 80 to 84 degree range, which is pretty close to average for late September in Alabama (the average high here doesn’t fall into the 70s until early October).

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Bottom line is that the days with consistent highs in the 90s will be over after this weekend (until next summer).

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and a few widely scattered storms on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through the weekend. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: Tropical Depression Karl and Tropical Storm Lisa will recurve over the open Atlantic and are no threat to land; the rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

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ON THIS DATE IN 1989: Hurricane Hugo roared ashore just north of Charleston, as a massive Category 4 storm with winds near 140 mph and a storm tide around 20 feet. The hurricane leveled beachfront properties and toppled trees, leaving much of the coastal areas in absolute ruin.

Hugo remained strong as it moved into western North Carolina, producing hurricane-force wind gusts all the way to Charlotte. Thirteen people in South Carolina and one person in North Carolina died as a result of the storm (as well as six in Virginia and one in New York). Hurricane Hugo caused $7 billion in damage in the U.S. mainland, making it the costliest hurricane at the time. When adjusted for inflation, it currently ranks as the ninth most costly hurricane in U.S. history, causing almost $13 billion in damage.

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I have weather programs today at Tarrant Elementary and Erwin Intermediate School… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!